Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.100.993.08safe1.13–3.060.13–1.841.26–4.91safer0.88–3.320.00–2.070.78–5.38
Shots on target
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.278.78safe3.65–7.381.52–5.015.18–12.39safer3.16–7.871.06–5.474.22–13.34
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction15.709.2424.93safe11.77–19.625.67–12.8017.44–32.42safer10.68–20.714.71–13.7615.39–34.47
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.236.2917.52safe8.28–14.173.61–8.9811.90–23.14safer7.46–15.002.88–9.7110.33–24.71
Blocked shots
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.562.436.98safe2.68–6.440.77–4.083.45–10.52safer2.13–6.990.28–4.572.41–11.56
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.993.6210.60safe4.77–9.201.62–5.626.39–14.82safer4.20–9.771.08–6.155.28–15.92
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction64.0436.31safe57.25–70.8329.52–43.09safer55.58–72.5027.85–44.77
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction563279842safe496–631212–345708–976safer478–649195–363673–1011
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction73.8964.34safe69.86–77.9260.02–68.66safer68.57–79.2158.71–69.97
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8412.0621.89safe7.00–12.679.11–15.0016.11–27.68safer6.24–13.438.36–15.7514.61–29.18
Offsides
36%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.835.32safe1.33–3.651.73–3.923.06–7.57safer1.03–3.951.44–4.212.47–8.16
Yellow cards
20%
19%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.282.333.60safe0.23–2.321.20–3.461.42–5.78safer0.00–2.590.91–3.750.87–6.34
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.053.595.64safe0.61–3.482.03–5.152.65–8.63safer0.22–3.871.61–5.571.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.13–3.06 0.88–3.32 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.38 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.65–7.38 3.16–7.87 | 3.27 1.52–5.01 1.06–5.47 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.34 | 72% 17% |
| Total shots | 15.70 11.77–19.62 10.68–20.71 | 9.24 5.67–12.80 4.71–13.76 | 24.93 17.44–32.42 15.39–34.47 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.23 8.28–14.17 7.46–15.00 | 6.29 3.61–8.98 2.88–9.71 | 17.52 11.90–23.14 10.33–24.71 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.56 2.68–6.44 2.13–6.99 | 2.43 0.77–4.08 0.28–4.57 | 6.98 3.45–10.52 2.41–11.56 | 73% 15% |
| Corners | 6.99 4.77–9.20 4.20–9.77 | 3.62 1.62–5.62 1.08–6.15 | 10.60 6.39–14.82 5.28–15.92 | 81% |
| Possession % | 64.04 57.25–70.83 55.58–72.50 | 36.31 29.52–43.09 27.85–44.77 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 563 496–631 478–649 | 279 212–345 195–363 | 842 708–976 673–1011 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.89 69.86–77.92 68.57–79.21 | 64.34 60.02–68.66 58.71–69.97 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.84 7.00–12.67 6.24–13.43 | 12.06 9.11–15.00 8.36–15.75 | 21.89 16.11–27.68 14.61–29.18 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 2.49 1.33–3.65 1.03–3.95 | 2.83 1.73–3.92 1.44–4.21 | 5.32 3.06–7.57 2.47–8.16 | 36% 18% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.32 0.00–2.59 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 20% 19% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.05 0.61–3.48 0.22–3.87 | 3.59 2.03–5.15 1.61–5.57 | 5.64 2.65–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.