Championship·Regular Season - 37·
Championship·Regular Season - 37·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.272.57safe0.33–2.270.42–2.120.75–4.39safer0.08–2.520.19–2.350.27–4.87
Shots on target
49%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.667.76safe2.25–5.971.91–5.404.16–11.37safer1.76–6.461.45–5.873.20–12.32
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8111.8224.63safe8.88–16.738.26–15.3817.14–32.12safer7.79–17.837.30–16.3415.09–34.17
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.308.5316.83safe5.35–11.245.85–11.2111.20–22.45safer4.52–12.075.11–11.959.64–24.02
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.133.417.54safe2.25–6.011.76–5.064.01–11.08safer1.71–6.561.26–5.552.97–12.11
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.6010.13safe3.31–7.742.60–6.605.92–14.34safer2.74–8.312.07–7.144.81–15.45
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.5751.16safe42.78–56.3644.37–57.94safer41.11–58.0342.70–59.62
Passes
47%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction443451894safe376–510384–517760–1027safer358–528367–535724–1063
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction69.2371.34safe65.20–73.2567.01–75.66safer63.90–74.5565.71–76.97
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4310.2720.69safe7.59–13.267.32–13.2114.91–26.48safer6.83–14.026.57–13.9613.41–27.98
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.823.44safe0.46–2.780.73–2.921.19–5.69safer0.16–3.080.44–3.200.60–6.28
Yellow cards
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.673.27safe0.55–2.650.54–2.801.09–5.45safer0.28–2.920.25–3.090.54–6.01
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.432.745.17safe1.00–3.871.19–4.302.18–8.17safer0.61–4.260.76–4.721.37–8.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.27 0.42–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.25–5.97 1.76–6.46 | 3.66 1.91–5.40 1.45–5.87 | 7.76 4.16–11.37 3.20–12.32 | 49% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 12.81 8.88–16.73 7.79–17.83 | 11.82 8.26–15.38 7.30–16.34 | 24.63 17.14–32.12 15.09–34.17 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.30 5.35–11.24 4.52–12.07 | 8.53 5.85–11.21 5.11–11.95 | 16.83 11.20–22.45 9.64–24.02 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.25–6.01 1.71–6.56 | 3.41 1.76–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 7.54 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.11 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.74 2.74–8.31 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.14 | 10.13 5.92–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 49.57 42.78–56.36 41.11–58.03 | 51.16 44.37–57.94 42.70–59.62 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 443 376–510 358–528 | 451 384–517 367–535 | 894 760–1027 724–1063 | 47% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.23 65.20–73.25 63.90–74.55 | 71.34 67.01–75.66 65.71–76.97 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 10.43 7.59–13.26 6.83–14.02 | 10.27 7.32–13.21 6.57–13.96 | 20.69 14.91–26.48 13.41–27.98 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.20 | 3.44 1.19–5.69 0.60–6.28 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.92 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 2.74 1.19–4.30 0.76–4.72 | 5.17 2.18–8.17 1.37–8.98 | 36% 18% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.