Championship·Regular Season - 37·
Championship·Regular Season - 37·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.482.70safe0.25–2.180.63–2.330.87–4.52safer0.00–2.440.40–2.560.39–5.00
Shots on target
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.458.16safe1.85–5.572.71–6.194.55–11.76safer1.36–6.062.24–6.663.60–12.72
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2812.8926.17safe9.36–17.219.32–16.4518.68–33.65safer8.27–18.308.36–17.4116.63–35.70
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.058.3216.37safe5.11–10.995.64–11.0010.75–22.00safer4.28–11.824.90–11.749.18–23.56
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.783.667.44safe1.90–5.662.01–5.313.90–10.97safer1.35–6.201.52–5.812.87–12.01
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.974.859.82safe2.75–7.182.85–6.855.61–14.03safer2.18–7.752.32–7.394.50–15.14
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction48.0052.45safe41.21–54.7945.66–59.23safer39.54–56.4643.99–60.90
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction434460894safe367–501394–527760–1028safer348–519376–544725–1063
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction67.8472.71safe63.81–71.8768.39–77.04safer62.52–73.1667.08–78.35
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9011.3523.25safe9.06–14.748.41–14.3017.47–29.03safer8.30–15.497.66–15.0415.96–30.54
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.973.56safe0.43–2.750.88–3.071.31–5.82safer0.13–3.050.59–3.360.72–6.40
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.863.83safe0.92–3.020.73–2.991.65–6.00safer0.65–3.280.44–3.281.09–6.56
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
45%
18%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.802.555.36safe1.37–4.241.00–4.112.36–8.35safer0.98–4.630.57–4.531.55–9.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.44 | 1.48 0.63–2.33 0.40–2.56 | 2.70 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 3.71 1.85–5.57 1.36–6.06 | 4.45 2.71–6.19 2.24–6.66 | 8.16 4.55–11.76 3.60–12.72 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.28 9.36–17.21 8.27–18.30 | 12.89 9.32–16.45 8.36–17.41 | 26.17 18.68–33.65 16.63–35.70 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.05 5.11–10.99 4.28–11.82 | 8.32 5.64–11.00 4.90–11.74 | 16.37 10.75–22.00 9.18–23.56 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 3.66 2.01–5.31 1.52–5.81 | 7.44 3.90–10.97 2.87–12.01 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.75–7.18 2.18–7.75 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.32–7.39 | 9.82 5.61–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 48.00 41.21–54.79 39.54–56.46 | 52.45 45.66–59.23 43.99–60.90 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 434 367–501 348–519 | 460 394–527 376–544 | 894 760–1028 725–1063 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.84 63.81–71.87 62.52–73.16 | 72.71 68.39–77.04 67.08–78.35 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 11.90 9.06–14.74 8.30–15.49 | 11.35 8.41–14.30 7.66–15.04 | 23.25 17.47–29.03 15.96–30.54 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.97 0.88–3.07 0.59–3.36 | 3.56 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.40 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.28 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.83 1.65–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 2.55 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 5.36 2.36–8.35 1.55–9.16 | 45% 18% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.