Championship·Regular Season - 37·
Championship·Regular Season - 37·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.292.83safe0.58–2.510.43–2.141.01–4.66safer0.33–2.770.20–2.370.53–5.14
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.328.93safe2.74–6.472.58–6.065.32–12.53safer2.25–6.962.11–6.534.37–13.49
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7511.4326.18safe10.82–18.677.87–14.9918.69–33.66safer9.73–19.766.91–15.9516.64–35.71
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.367.7917.14safe6.42–12.305.10–10.4711.52–22.77safer5.59–13.134.37–11.209.95–24.33
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.247.41safe2.29–6.061.58–4.893.88–10.95safer1.75–6.601.09–5.382.84–11.98
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.349.82safe3.26–7.692.34–6.345.60–14.03safer2.69–8.261.81–6.874.50–15.14
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.3450.68safe42.55–56.1343.90–57.47safer40.88–57.8042.23–59.14
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction431427858safe364–498360–493724–991safer346–517343–511688–1027
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction69.8671.58safe65.83–73.8967.25–75.90safer64.54–75.1865.94–77.21
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4711.3222.79safe8.63–14.308.38–14.2717.01–28.57safer7.87–15.067.63–15.0215.50–30.08
Offsides
43%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.763.69safe0.78–3.100.66–2.851.44–5.95safer0.48–3.400.37–3.140.85–6.54
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.963.52safe0.51–2.610.83–3.091.34–5.69safer0.24–2.870.54–3.380.78–6.25
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.205.85safe1.21–4.081.65–4.762.85–8.84safer0.82–4.471.22–5.182.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.51 0.33–2.77 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.74–6.47 2.25–6.96 | 4.32 2.58–6.06 2.11–6.53 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.75 10.82–18.67 9.73–19.76 | 11.43 7.87–14.99 6.91–15.95 | 26.18 18.69–33.66 16.64–35.71 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.36 6.42–12.30 5.59–13.13 | 7.79 5.10–10.47 4.37–11.20 | 17.14 11.52–22.77 9.95–24.33 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 3.24 1.58–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.26–7.69 2.69–8.26 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.87 | 9.82 5.60–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 49.34 42.55–56.13 40.88–57.80 | 50.68 43.90–57.47 42.23–59.14 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–517 | 427 360–493 343–511 | 858 724–991 688–1027 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.86 65.83–73.89 64.54–75.18 | 71.58 67.25–75.90 65.94–77.21 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.47 8.63–14.30 7.87–15.06 | 11.32 8.38–14.27 7.63–15.02 | 22.79 17.01–28.57 15.50–30.08 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 3.69 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 43% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.52 1.34–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.20 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 5.85 2.85–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.