Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.840.912.75safe0.87–2.810.06–1.760.93–4.58safer0.62–3.060.00–1.990.45–5.05
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.393.068.45safe3.53–7.251.31–4.804.84–12.05safer3.04–7.740.85–5.263.89–13.01
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.759.4326.18safe12.83–20.675.87–12.9918.69–33.67safer11.73–21.774.91–13.9516.64–35.72
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.855.9516.80safe7.90–13.793.27–8.6411.18–22.42safer7.07–14.622.54–9.379.61–23.99
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.872.387.26safe2.99–6.760.73–4.033.72–10.79safer2.45–7.300.24–4.532.68–11.83
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.583.329.91safe4.37–8.801.32–5.325.69–14.12safer3.80–9.370.79–5.854.59–15.23
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.3238.88safe53.53–67.1132.10–45.67safer51.86–68.7830.43–47.34
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction505314819safe438–573247–380685–953safer420–591230–398650–988
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction71.5567.39safe67.52–75.5863.06–71.71safer66.23–76.8761.75–73.02
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2413.2425.48safe9.40–15.0810.30–16.1919.70–31.26safer8.64–15.839.55–16.9418.19–32.77
Offsides
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.153.62safe0.31–2.631.05–3.241.37–5.87safer0.01–2.930.77–3.530.78–6.46
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.323.82safe0.45–2.551.19–3.451.64–6.00safer0.19–2.820.90–3.741.08–6.55
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.143.275.41safe0.71–3.581.71–4.832.42–8.41safer0.32–3.971.29–5.251.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.81 0.62–3.06 | 0.91 0.06–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.75 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.05 | 59% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.53–7.25 3.04–7.74 | 3.06 1.31–4.80 0.85–5.26 | 8.45 4.84–12.05 3.89–13.01 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.75 12.83–20.67 11.73–21.77 | 9.43 5.87–12.99 4.91–13.95 | 26.18 18.69–33.67 16.64–35.72 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.85 7.90–13.79 7.07–14.62 | 5.95 3.27–8.64 2.54–9.37 | 16.80 11.18–22.42 9.61–23.99 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.87 2.99–6.76 2.45–7.30 | 2.38 0.73–4.03 0.24–4.53 | 7.26 3.72–10.79 2.68–11.83 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.58 4.37–8.80 3.80–9.37 | 3.32 1.32–5.32 0.79–5.85 | 9.91 5.69–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 81% |
| Possession % | 60.32 53.53–67.11 51.86–68.78 | 38.88 32.10–45.67 30.43–47.34 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 505 438–573 420–591 | 314 247–380 230–398 | 819 685–953 650–988 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.55 67.52–75.58 66.23–76.87 | 67.39 63.06–71.71 61.75–73.02 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.40–15.08 8.64–15.83 | 13.24 10.30–16.19 9.55–16.94 | 25.48 19.70–31.26 18.19–32.77 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 2.15 1.05–3.24 0.77–3.53 | 3.62 1.37–5.87 0.78–6.46 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.08–6.55 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.71–3.58 0.32–3.97 | 3.27 1.71–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 5.41 2.42–8.41 1.61–9.22 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.