Championship·Regular Season - 38·
Championship·Regular Season - 38·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
24%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.722.71safe0.02–1.950.87–2.580.89–4.53safer0.00–2.210.64–2.810.41–5.01
Shots on target
26%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.544.858.39safe1.68–5.403.11–6.594.79–12.00safer1.19–5.892.64–7.063.83–12.95
Total shots
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3413.8425.19safe7.42–15.2710.28–17.4117.70–32.67safer6.33–16.369.32–18.3615.65–34.72
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.939.7117.65safe4.99–10.877.03–12.3912.02–23.27safer4.16–11.706.30–13.1310.45–24.84
Blocked shots
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.244.717.95safe1.35–5.123.06–6.374.41–11.48safer0.81–5.662.57–6.863.38–12.52
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.7010.57safe2.66–7.093.70–7.706.36–14.79safer2.09–7.663.16–8.235.25–15.89
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.1160.12safe33.32–46.9053.34–66.91safer31.65–48.5751.67–68.58
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction343521864safe276–410454–587730–997safer257–428437–605694–1033
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction65.7977.28safe61.76–69.8272.96–81.60safer60.47–71.1171.65–82.91
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.439.9721.40safe8.59–14.277.03–12.9215.62–27.19safer7.84–15.036.28–13.6714.12–28.69
Offsides
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.033.97safe0.78–3.100.94–3.121.72–6.23safer0.48–3.400.65–3.411.13–6.82
Yellow cards
44%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.583.43safe0.80–2.900.45–2.711.25–5.60safer0.53–3.160.16–3.000.69–6.16
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.242.415.65safe1.80–4.680.86–3.972.66–8.65safer1.42–5.060.43–4.391.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.95 0.00–2.21 | 1.72 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.81 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 22% 24% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.54 1.68–5.40 1.19–5.89 | 4.85 3.11–6.59 2.64–7.06 | 8.39 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.95 | 26% 61% |
| Total shots | 11.34 7.42–15.27 6.33–16.36 | 13.84 10.28–17.41 9.32–18.36 | 25.19 17.70–32.67 15.65–34.72 | 27% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.93 4.99–10.87 4.16–11.70 | 9.71 7.03–12.39 6.30–13.13 | 17.65 12.02–23.27 10.45–24.84 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.24 1.35–5.12 0.81–5.66 | 4.71 3.06–6.37 2.57–6.86 | 7.95 4.41–11.48 3.38–12.52 | 24% 63% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 5.70 3.70–7.70 3.16–8.23 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.89 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 40.11 33.32–46.90 31.65–48.57 | 60.12 53.34–66.91 51.67–68.58 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 343 276–410 257–428 | 521 454–587 437–605 | 864 730–997 694–1033 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.79 61.76–69.82 60.47–71.11 | 77.28 72.96–81.60 71.65–82.91 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 11.43 8.59–14.27 7.84–15.03 | 9.97 7.03–12.92 6.28–13.67 | 21.40 15.62–27.19 14.12–28.69 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 2.03 0.94–3.12 0.65–3.41 | 3.97 1.72–6.23 1.13–6.82 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.16 | 1.58 0.45–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 3.43 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 44% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.80–4.68 1.42–5.06 | 2.41 0.86–3.97 0.43–4.39 | 5.65 2.66–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+