Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.662.87safe0.24–2.170.81–2.521.05–4.69safer0.00–2.420.58–2.750.57–5.17
Shots on target
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.074.828.88safe2.20–5.933.07–6.565.28–12.49safer1.71–6.422.61–7.024.32–13.44
Total shots
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8514.1326.98safe8.92–16.7710.57–17.6919.49–34.46safer7.83–17.869.61–18.6517.44–36.52
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.468.7417.20safe5.51–11.406.06–11.4211.58–22.82safer4.68–12.235.33–12.1610.01–24.39
Blocked shots
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.064.627.68safe1.18–4.942.97–6.274.14–11.21safer0.63–5.482.47–6.763.11–12.25
Corners
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.705.269.96safe2.49–6.923.26–7.265.75–14.18safer1.92–7.492.73–7.794.64–15.29
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.6861.25safe31.89–45.4754.47–68.04safer30.22–47.1452.80–69.71
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction347527874safe280–414461–594740–1008safer262–432443–611705–1043
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction62.1376.11safe58.10–66.1571.79–80.44safer56.80–67.4570.48–81.75
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5011.9425.44safe10.66–16.339.00–14.8919.66–31.22safer9.90–17.098.25–15.6418.15–32.73
Offsides
66%
16%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.841.464.30safe1.68–4.000.37–2.562.05–6.55safer1.38–4.300.08–2.841.46–7.14
Yellow cards
45%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.874.04safe1.12–3.220.74–3.001.86–6.21safer0.85–3.480.45–3.291.30–6.77
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.936.02safe1.66–4.531.37–4.493.03–9.02safer1.27–4.920.95–4.912.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.24–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.66 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.75 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.07 2.20–5.93 1.71–6.42 | 4.82 3.07–6.56 2.61–7.02 | 8.88 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.44 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Total shots | 12.85 8.92–16.77 7.83–17.86 | 14.13 10.57–17.69 9.61–18.65 | 26.98 19.49–34.46 17.44–36.52 | 37% 56% |
| Shots in box | 8.46 5.51–11.40 4.68–12.23 | 8.74 6.06–11.42 5.33–12.16 | 17.20 11.58–22.82 10.01–24.39 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.06 1.18–4.94 0.63–5.48 | 4.62 2.97–6.27 2.47–6.76 | 7.68 4.14–11.21 3.11–12.25 | 23% 65% |
| Corners | 4.70 2.49–6.92 1.92–7.49 | 5.26 3.26–7.26 2.73–7.79 | 9.96 5.75–14.18 4.64–15.29 | 37% 51% |
| Possession % | 38.68 31.89–45.47 30.22–47.14 | 61.25 54.47–68.04 52.80–69.71 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 347 280–414 262–432 | 527 461–594 443–611 | 874 740–1008 705–1043 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.13 58.10–66.15 56.80–67.45 | 76.11 71.79–80.44 70.48–81.75 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 13.50 10.66–16.33 9.90–17.09 | 11.94 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 25.44 19.66–31.22 18.15–32.73 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.84 1.68–4.00 1.38–4.30 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.84 | 4.30 2.05–6.55 1.46–7.14 | 66% 16% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.85–3.48 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 4.04 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 45% 20% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.93 1.37–4.49 0.95–4.91 | 6.02 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.