Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.352.81safe0.49–2.430.49–2.200.98–4.63safer0.24–2.680.26–2.430.50–5.11
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.464.178.63safe2.60–6.322.43–5.915.03–12.24safer2.11–6.811.96–6.384.07–13.19
Total shots
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1411.9425.08safe9.21–17.068.38–15.5017.59–32.56safer8.12–18.157.42–16.4615.54–34.61
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.037.8016.83safe6.09–11.985.12–10.4811.21–22.46safer5.26–12.814.38–11.229.64–24.02
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.467.02safe1.68–5.441.81–5.123.49–10.56safer1.13–5.981.32–5.612.45–11.59
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.949.95safe2.80–7.222.94–6.945.74–14.17safer2.22–7.802.41–7.484.63–15.27
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.5454.49safe38.75–52.3347.71–61.28safer37.08–54.0046.04–62.95
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction406469876safe339–474403–536742–1009safer321–492385–553706–1045
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction64.7570.66safe60.72–68.7866.33–74.98safer59.43–70.0765.03–76.29
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7010.7321.43safe7.87–13.547.79–13.6815.65–27.22safer7.11–14.307.04–14.4214.15–28.72
Offsides
39%
19%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.444.80safe1.20–3.521.35–3.532.55–7.06safer0.90–3.831.06–3.821.96–7.65
Yellow cards
42%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.633.40safe0.72–2.820.50–2.751.22–5.58safer0.46–3.090.21–3.050.66–6.13
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.015.79safe1.35–4.221.45–4.572.80–8.79safer0.96–4.611.03–4.991.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.81 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.32 2.11–6.81 | 4.17 2.43–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 8.63 5.03–12.24 4.07–13.19 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.14 9.21–17.06 8.12–18.15 | 11.94 8.38–15.50 7.42–16.46 | 25.08 17.59–32.56 15.54–34.61 | 56% 37% |
| Shots in box | 9.03 6.09–11.98 5.26–12.81 | 7.80 5.12–10.48 4.38–11.22 | 16.83 11.21–22.46 9.64–24.02 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 3.46 1.81–5.12 1.32–5.61 | 7.02 3.49–10.56 2.45–11.59 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.80–7.22 2.22–7.80 | 4.94 2.94–6.94 2.41–7.48 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.27 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 45.54 38.75–52.33 37.08–54.00 | 54.49 47.71–61.28 46.04–62.95 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 406 339–474 321–492 | 469 403–536 385–553 | 876 742–1009 706–1045 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.75 60.72–68.78 59.43–70.07 | 70.66 66.33–74.98 65.03–76.29 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.87–13.54 7.11–14.30 | 10.73 7.79–13.68 7.04–14.42 | 21.43 15.65–27.22 14.15–28.72 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.36 1.20–3.52 0.90–3.83 | 2.44 1.35–3.53 1.06–3.82 | 4.80 2.55–7.06 1.96–7.65 | 39% 19% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 1.63 0.50–2.75 0.21–3.05 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.66–6.13 | 42% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.01 1.45–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 5.79 2.80–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.