Championship·Regular Season - 38·
Championship·Regular Season - 38·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
28%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.192.35safe0.20–2.130.34–2.040.53–4.18safer0.00–2.380.11–2.270.05–4.66
Shots on target
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.654.167.81safe1.78–5.512.42–5.914.20–11.41safer1.29–6.001.96–6.373.25–12.37
Total shots
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5212.8425.36safe8.60–16.459.28–16.4017.88–32.85safer7.51–17.548.32–17.3615.83–34.90
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.608.4316.03safe4.65–10.545.75–11.1110.40–21.65safer3.82–11.375.01–11.858.84–23.22
Blocked shots
42%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.994.028.01safe2.11–5.872.37–5.674.47–11.54safer1.56–6.411.87–6.163.44–12.58
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.044.869.91safe2.83–7.262.86–6.865.69–14.12safer2.26–7.832.33–7.394.59–15.23
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.6652.14safe41.87–55.4545.35–58.92safer40.20–57.1243.68–60.59
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction433454887safe366–500387–520753–1021safer348–518370–538718–1056
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction67.4774.08safe63.44–71.5069.75–78.40safer62.15–72.7968.45–79.71
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4511.6122.06safe7.61–13.288.67–14.5616.28–27.84safer6.85–14.047.92–15.3114.77–29.35
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.573.25safe0.52–2.840.47–2.660.99–5.50safer0.22–3.140.19–2.950.40–6.09
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.763.50safe0.69–2.790.63–2.891.32–5.68safer0.43–3.060.34–3.180.77–6.24
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.692.605.29safe1.26–4.131.04–4.152.30–8.28safer0.87–4.520.62–4.581.48–9.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.19 0.34–2.04 0.11–2.27 | 2.35 0.53–4.18 0.05–4.66 | 35% 28% 37% |
| Shots on target | 3.65 1.78–5.51 1.29–6.00 | 4.16 2.42–5.91 1.96–6.37 | 7.81 4.20–11.41 3.25–12.37 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.52 8.60–16.45 7.51–17.54 | 12.84 9.28–16.40 8.32–17.36 | 25.36 17.88–32.85 15.83–34.90 | 44% 49% |
| Shots in box | 7.60 4.65–10.54 3.82–11.37 | 8.43 5.75–11.11 5.01–11.85 | 16.03 10.40–21.65 8.84–23.22 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.56–6.41 | 4.02 2.37–5.67 1.87–6.16 | 8.01 4.47–11.54 3.44–12.58 | 42% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 5.04 2.83–7.26 2.26–7.83 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.33–7.39 | 9.91 5.69–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 48.66 41.87–55.45 40.20–57.12 | 52.14 45.35–58.92 43.68–60.59 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 433 366–500 348–518 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 887 753–1021 718–1056 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.47 63.44–71.50 62.15–72.79 | 74.08 69.75–78.40 68.45–79.71 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 10.45 7.61–13.28 6.85–14.04 | 11.61 8.67–14.56 7.92–15.31 | 22.06 16.28–27.84 14.77–29.35 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.57 0.47–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.25 0.99–5.50 0.40–6.09 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 2.60 1.04–4.15 0.62–4.58 | 5.29 2.30–8.28 1.48–9.09 | 43% 18% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.