Championship·Regular Season - 38·
Championship·Regular Season - 38·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.322.91safe0.62–2.560.46–2.171.08–4.73safer0.37–2.810.23–2.400.60–5.21
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.764.569.32safe2.90–6.622.82–6.305.72–12.93safer2.41–7.112.35–6.774.76–13.88
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8613.1026.95safe9.93–17.789.53–16.6619.47–34.44safer8.84–18.878.58–17.6217.42–36.49
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.179.4119.58safe7.22–13.116.73–12.0913.95–25.20safer6.39–13.945.99–12.8312.39–26.77
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.237.94safe1.82–5.592.58–5.894.40–11.47safer1.28–6.132.09–6.383.37–12.51
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.284.7610.04safe3.07–7.492.76–6.765.83–14.26safer2.49–8.072.23–7.304.72–15.36
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.3346.31safe47.54–61.1239.53–53.10safer45.87–62.7937.86–54.77
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction485407893safe418–552341–474759–1026safer400–571324–491723–1062
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction74.3373.13safe70.30–78.3668.80–77.45safer69.01–79.6567.50–78.76
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9312.3724.31safe9.10–14.779.43–15.3218.53–30.09safer8.34–15.538.68–16.0717.02–31.59
Offsides
64%
17%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.641.404.03safe1.48–3.800.30–2.491.78–6.29safer1.18–4.100.01–2.781.19–6.88
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.214.16safe0.89–2.991.08–3.341.98–6.33safer0.63–3.260.79–3.631.42–6.89
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.086.16safe1.65–4.521.52–4.643.17–9.15safer1.26–4.911.10–5.062.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.90–6.62 2.41–7.11 | 4.56 2.82–6.30 2.35–6.77 | 9.32 5.72–12.93 4.76–13.88 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.86 9.93–17.78 8.84–18.87 | 13.10 9.53–16.66 8.58–17.62 | 26.95 19.47–34.44 17.42–36.49 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 10.17 7.22–13.11 6.39–13.94 | 9.41 6.73–12.09 5.99–12.83 | 19.58 13.95–25.20 12.39–26.77 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.82–5.59 1.28–6.13 | 4.23 2.58–5.89 2.09–6.38 | 7.94 4.40–11.47 3.37–12.51 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.49 2.49–8.07 | 4.76 2.76–6.76 2.23–7.30 | 10.04 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.36 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 54.33 47.54–61.12 45.87–62.79 | 46.31 39.53–53.10 37.86–54.77 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 485 418–552 400–571 | 407 341–474 324–491 | 893 759–1026 723–1062 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.33 70.30–78.36 69.01–79.65 | 73.13 68.80–77.45 67.50–78.76 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.93 9.10–14.77 8.34–15.53 | 12.37 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.07 | 24.31 18.53–30.09 17.02–31.59 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.64 1.48–3.80 1.18–4.10 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.78 | 4.03 1.78–6.29 1.19–6.88 | 64% 17% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.16 1.98–6.33 1.42–6.89 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 3.08 1.52–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.36–9.97 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+