Championship·Regular Season - 38·
Championship·Regular Season - 38·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.212.76safe0.58–2.520.35–2.060.94–4.58safer0.33–2.770.13–2.290.46–5.06
Shots on target
48%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.078.49safe2.55–6.272.33–5.824.88–12.09safer2.06–6.761.87–6.283.93–13.05
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0712.2526.32safe10.15–18.008.69–15.8118.84–33.81safer9.06–19.097.73–16.7716.79–35.86
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.318.1616.46safe5.36–11.255.48–10.8410.84–22.09safer4.54–12.084.74–11.579.27–23.65
Blocked shots
52%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.203.527.73safe2.32–6.091.87–5.174.19–11.26safer1.78–6.631.38–5.673.16–12.30
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.249.47safe3.02–7.452.24–6.245.26–13.69safer2.45–8.021.71–6.774.15–14.79
Possession %
84%
14%
homeawayprediction58.8841.30safe52.09–65.6734.52–48.09safer50.42–67.3432.85–49.76
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction589362951safe522–656295–428817–1084safer503–674278–446781–1120
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction74.2469.67safe70.21–78.2765.35–74.00safer68.92–79.5664.04–75.31
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8311.0922.92safe8.99–14.678.14–14.0317.14–28.70safer8.24–15.437.40–14.7815.63–30.21
Offsides
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.454.13safe0.52–2.841.36–3.551.88–6.39safer0.22–3.141.07–3.841.29–6.98
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.703.50safe0.75–2.850.57–2.831.33–5.68safer0.49–3.120.28–3.120.77–6.24
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
40%
18%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.672.735.40safe1.23–4.101.17–4.282.40–8.39safer0.84–4.490.75–4.711.59–9.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 4.07 2.33–5.82 1.87–6.28 | 8.49 4.88–12.09 3.93–13.05 | 48% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.07 10.15–18.00 9.06–19.09 | 12.25 8.69–15.81 7.73–16.77 | 26.32 18.84–33.81 16.79–35.86 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.31 5.36–11.25 4.54–12.08 | 8.16 5.48–10.84 4.74–11.57 | 16.46 10.84–22.09 9.27–23.65 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.32–6.09 1.78–6.63 | 3.52 1.87–5.17 1.38–5.67 | 7.73 4.19–11.26 3.16–12.30 | 52% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 4.24 2.24–6.24 1.71–6.77 | 9.47 5.26–13.69 4.15–14.79 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 58.88 52.09–65.67 50.42–67.34 | 41.30 34.52–48.09 32.85–49.76 | — | 84% 14% |
| Passes | 589 522–656 503–674 | 362 295–428 278–446 | 951 817–1084 781–1120 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.24 70.21–78.27 68.92–79.56 | 69.67 65.35–74.00 64.04–75.31 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 11.83 8.99–14.67 8.24–15.43 | 11.09 8.14–14.03 7.40–14.78 | 22.92 17.14–28.70 15.63–30.21 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 2.45 1.36–3.55 1.07–3.84 | 4.13 1.88–6.39 1.29–6.98 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.50 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 2.73 1.17–4.28 0.75–4.71 | 5.40 2.40–8.39 1.59–9.20 | 40% 18% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+