Championship·Regular Season - 38·
Championship·Regular Season - 38·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.022.79safe0.80–2.730.17–1.880.97–4.61safer0.55–2.990.00–2.100.49–5.09
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.653.218.86safe3.79–7.511.47–4.955.25–12.47safer3.30–8.001.00–5.424.30–13.42
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.839.7325.56safe11.91–19.766.16–13.2918.07–33.05safer10.82–20.855.20–14.2516.02–35.10
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.277.1317.40safe7.33–13.214.45–9.8111.77–23.02safer6.50–14.043.71–10.5510.21–24.59
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.817.14safe2.45–6.211.16–4.463.60–10.67safer1.90–6.760.66–4.952.57–11.71
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.959.87safe3.71–8.141.95–5.955.66–14.09safer3.13–8.711.42–6.494.55–15.20
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.9542.08safe51.16–64.7435.29–48.86safer49.49–66.4133.62–50.53
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction523359882safe456–590293–426749–1016safer438–609275–443713–1052
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction76.0471.40safe72.01–80.0767.08–75.73safer70.72–81.3665.77–77.04
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2913.4123.70safe7.45–13.1310.47–16.3617.92–29.49safer6.70–13.899.72–17.1016.42–30.99
Offsides
43%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.944.08safe0.97–3.290.85–3.041.82–6.33safer0.67–3.600.56–3.321.23–6.92
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.963.47safe0.45–2.550.83–3.091.29–5.64safer0.19–2.820.54–3.380.73–6.20
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
23%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.475.74safe0.83–3.701.92–5.032.75–8.73safer0.44–4.091.49–5.461.94–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.73 0.55–2.99 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.65 3.79–7.51 3.30–8.00 | 3.21 1.47–4.95 1.00–5.42 | 8.86 5.25–12.47 4.30–13.42 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 15.83 11.91–19.76 10.82–20.85 | 9.73 6.16–13.29 5.20–14.25 | 25.56 18.07–33.05 16.02–35.10 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.27 7.33–13.21 6.50–14.04 | 7.13 4.45–9.81 3.71–10.55 | 17.40 11.77–23.02 10.21–24.59 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.90–6.76 | 2.81 1.16–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 7.14 3.60–10.67 2.57–11.71 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.71–8.14 3.13–8.71 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.42–6.49 | 9.87 5.66–14.09 4.55–15.20 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 57.95 51.16–64.74 49.49–66.41 | 42.08 35.29–48.86 33.62–50.53 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 438–609 | 359 293–426 275–443 | 882 749–1016 713–1052 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.04 72.01–80.07 70.72–81.36 | 71.40 67.08–75.73 65.77–77.04 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.45–13.13 6.70–13.89 | 13.41 10.47–16.36 9.72–17.10 | 23.70 17.92–29.49 16.42–30.99 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 2.13 0.97–3.29 0.67–3.60 | 1.94 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.32 | 4.08 1.82–6.33 1.23–6.92 | 43% 20% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.47 1.29–5.64 0.73–6.20 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.46 | 5.74 2.75–8.73 1.94–9.54 | 23% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.