Championship·Regular Season - 38·
Championship·Regular Season - 38·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
26%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.470.852.33safe0.50–2.440.00–1.710.50–4.15safer0.25–2.690.00–1.940.02–4.63
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.722.947.66safe2.86–6.591.20–4.684.06–11.27safer2.37–7.070.73–5.153.10–12.22
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction15.849.2425.08safe11.92–19.765.68–12.8117.60–32.57safer10.82–20.864.72–13.7715.55–34.62
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.616.7116.32safe6.67–12.554.03–9.3910.70–21.94safer5.84–13.383.29–10.139.13–23.51
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.032.717.74safe3.15–6.911.05–4.364.20–11.27safer2.61–7.460.56–4.853.17–12.31
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.414.3610.76safe4.19–8.622.36–6.366.55–14.98safer3.62–9.191.83–6.895.44–16.09
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.7840.13safe52.99–66.5733.34–46.91safer51.32–68.2431.67–48.58
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction460295755safe393–527228–361621–889safer375–546211–379585–924
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction67.9463.75safe63.91–71.9759.43–68.08safer62.62–73.2658.12–69.39
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0513.1024.15safe8.21–13.8810.16–16.0418.37–29.93safer7.45–14.649.41–16.7916.86–31.43
Offsides
23%
19%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.464.01safe0.38–2.701.37–3.561.76–6.26safer0.08–3.011.08–3.851.17–6.85
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.153.62safe0.42–2.521.02–3.281.44–5.80safer0.15–2.790.73–3.570.89–6.36
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.245.36safe0.69–3.561.69–4.802.37–8.36safer0.30–3.951.26–5.221.56–9.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 2.33 0.50–4.15 0.02–4.63 | 52% 26% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.07 | 2.94 1.20–4.68 0.73–5.15 | 7.66 4.06–11.27 3.10–12.22 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.84 11.92–19.76 10.82–20.86 | 9.24 5.68–12.81 4.72–13.77 | 25.08 17.60–32.57 15.55–34.62 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 9.61 6.67–12.55 5.84–13.38 | 6.71 4.03–9.39 3.29–10.13 | 16.32 10.70–21.94 9.13–23.51 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 5.03 3.15–6.91 2.61–7.46 | 2.71 1.05–4.36 0.56–4.85 | 7.74 4.20–11.27 3.17–12.31 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.19–8.62 3.62–9.19 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.89 | 10.76 6.55–14.98 5.44–16.09 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 59.78 52.99–66.57 51.32–68.24 | 40.13 33.34–46.91 31.67–48.58 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 460 393–527 375–546 | 295 228–361 211–379 | 755 621–889 585–924 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.94 63.91–71.97 62.62–73.26 | 63.75 59.43–68.08 58.12–69.39 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.21–13.88 7.45–14.64 | 13.10 10.16–16.04 9.41–16.79 | 24.15 18.37–29.93 16.86–31.43 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.01 | 2.46 1.37–3.56 1.08–3.85 | 4.01 1.76–6.26 1.17–6.85 | 23% 19% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.79 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.24 1.69–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 5.36 2.37–8.36 1.56–9.17 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.