Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.172.92safe0.78–2.720.31–2.021.10–4.74safer0.53–2.970.08–2.250.62–5.22
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.963.918.87safe3.10–6.832.17–5.655.27–12.48safer2.61–7.321.70–6.124.31–13.43
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4812.1625.64safe9.56–17.408.60–15.7218.15–33.13safer8.46–18.507.64–16.6816.10–35.18
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.447.3516.78safe6.49–12.384.67–10.0311.16–22.41safer5.67–13.213.93–10.779.59–23.97
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.757.28safe1.64–5.402.10–5.413.74–10.81safer1.10–5.951.61–5.902.71–11.85
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.064.5010.56safe3.85–8.282.50–6.506.35–14.78safer3.28–8.851.97–7.035.24–15.88
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.3146.85safe47.52–61.1040.06–53.63safer45.85–62.7738.39–55.30
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction487413900safe420–555347–480767–1034safer402–573329–497731–1070
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction71.6771.12safe67.64–75.7066.80–75.45safer66.35–76.9965.49–76.76
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1912.9523.14safe7.35–13.0310.01–15.9017.36–28.92safer6.60–13.789.26–16.6415.85–30.43
Offsides
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.741.405.15safe2.58–4.900.31–2.502.89–7.40safer2.28–5.200.02–2.792.30–7.99
Yellow cards
26%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.023.38safe0.31–2.410.89–3.151.20–5.56safer0.04–2.680.60–3.440.64–6.12
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.305.94safe1.21–4.081.74–4.852.95–8.93safer0.82–4.471.31–5.282.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.83 2.61–7.32 | 3.91 2.17–5.65 1.70–6.12 | 8.87 5.27–12.48 4.31–13.43 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 13.48 9.56–17.40 8.46–18.50 | 12.16 8.60–15.72 7.64–16.68 | 25.64 18.15–33.13 16.10–35.18 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 9.44 6.49–12.38 5.67–13.21 | 7.35 4.67–10.03 3.93–10.77 | 16.78 11.16–22.41 9.59–23.97 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.10–5.95 | 3.75 2.10–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 6.06 3.85–8.28 3.28–8.85 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.03 | 10.56 6.35–14.78 5.24–15.88 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 54.31 47.52–61.10 45.85–62.77 | 46.85 40.06–53.63 38.39–55.30 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 487 420–555 402–573 | 413 347–480 329–497 | 900 767–1034 731–1070 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.67 67.64–75.70 66.35–76.99 | 71.12 66.80–75.45 65.49–76.76 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.35–13.03 6.60–13.78 | 12.95 10.01–15.90 9.26–16.64 | 23.14 17.36–28.92 15.85–30.43 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 3.74 2.58–4.90 2.28–5.20 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 5.15 2.89–7.40 2.30–7.99 | 79% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.68 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.12 | 26% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.28 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.