Championship·Regular Season - 38·
Championship·Regular Season - 38·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.003.25safe1.28–3.210.15–1.861.43–5.07safer1.03–3.460.00–2.090.95–5.55
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.433.338.76safe3.57–7.291.59–5.075.15–12.36safer3.08–7.781.12–5.544.20–13.32
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0710.9927.06safe12.14–19.997.43–14.5519.57–34.54safer11.05–21.086.47–15.5117.52–36.59
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.697.1017.79safe7.75–13.634.42–9.7812.16–23.41safer6.92–14.463.68–10.5110.60–24.98
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.827.16safe2.46–6.221.17–4.473.63–10.70safer1.92–6.770.68–4.972.59–11.73
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.644.0410.68safe4.43–8.852.04–6.046.47–14.89safer3.85–9.431.51–6.575.36–16.00
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction56.8941.60safe50.10–63.6834.82–48.39safer48.43–65.3533.15–50.06
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction528367895safe460–595301–434761–1029safer442–613283–451726–1064
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction73.0170.28safe68.98–77.0465.96–74.60safer67.69–78.3464.65–75.91
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5211.6322.16safe7.69–13.368.69–14.5816.37–27.94safer6.93–14.127.94–15.3314.87–29.44
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.613.72safe0.95–3.270.52–2.701.47–5.97safer0.65–3.570.23–2.990.88–6.56
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.883.32safe0.39–2.490.75–3.011.14–5.50safer0.12–2.750.46–3.300.58–6.05
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
29%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.145.50safe0.92–3.791.58–4.702.51–8.49safer0.53–4.181.16–5.121.69–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.24 1.28–3.21 1.03–3.46 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.43 3.57–7.29 3.08–7.78 | 3.33 1.59–5.07 1.12–5.54 | 8.76 5.15–12.36 4.20–13.32 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.07 12.14–19.99 11.05–21.08 | 10.99 7.43–14.55 6.47–15.51 | 27.06 19.57–34.54 17.52–36.59 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.69 7.75–13.63 6.92–14.46 | 7.10 4.42–9.78 3.68–10.51 | 17.79 12.16–23.41 10.60–24.98 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.22 1.92–6.77 | 2.82 1.17–4.47 0.68–4.97 | 7.16 3.63–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.64 4.43–8.85 3.85–9.43 | 4.04 2.04–6.04 1.51–6.57 | 10.68 6.47–14.89 5.36–16.00 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 56.89 50.10–63.68 48.43–65.35 | 41.60 34.82–48.39 33.15–50.06 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 528 460–595 442–613 | 367 301–434 283–451 | 895 761–1029 726–1064 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.01 68.98–77.04 67.69–78.34 | 70.28 65.96–74.60 64.65–75.91 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.69–13.36 6.93–14.12 | 11.63 8.69–14.58 7.94–15.33 | 22.16 16.37–27.94 14.87–29.44 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.11 0.95–3.27 0.65–3.57 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.72 1.47–5.97 0.88–6.56 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.12–2.75 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.58–6.05 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.69–9.30 | 29% 17% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.