Championship·Regular Season - 39·
Championship·Regular Season - 39·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.052.72safe0.71–2.640.20–1.900.90–4.55safer0.45–2.890.00–2.130.42–5.03
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.263.118.38safe3.40–7.131.37–4.864.77–11.98safer2.91–7.620.91–5.323.82–12.94
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.059.4625.51safe12.12–19.975.90–13.0318.02–33.00safer11.03–21.064.94–13.9915.97–35.05
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.636.7117.34safe7.69–13.574.02–9.3911.71–22.96safer6.86–14.403.29–10.1210.15–24.53
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.762.877.63safe2.88–6.641.22–4.534.10–11.17safer2.33–7.180.73–5.023.06–12.20
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.9910.25safe4.06–8.481.99–5.996.04–14.47safer3.48–9.061.45–6.524.93–15.58
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction50.4247.87safe43.63–57.2141.09–54.66safer41.96–58.8839.42–56.33
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction426407833safe359–493341–474699–967safer341–511323–491664–1002
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction69.4171.63safe65.38–73.4467.31–75.95safer64.09–74.7366.00–77.26
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7810.9623.74safe9.95–15.628.01–13.9017.96–29.53safer9.19–16.387.27–14.6516.46–31.03
Offsides
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.414.06safe0.49–2.811.32–3.511.81–6.32safer0.19–3.111.03–3.791.22–6.91
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.114.17safe1.01–3.100.99–3.241.99–6.35safer0.74–3.370.69–3.531.43–6.91
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
20%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.133.575.70safe0.69–3.562.01–5.122.70–8.69safer0.30–3.951.59–5.551.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.71–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.05 0.20–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.26 3.40–7.13 2.91–7.62 | 3.11 1.37–4.86 0.91–5.32 | 8.38 4.77–11.98 3.82–12.94 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.05 12.12–19.97 11.03–21.06 | 9.46 5.90–13.03 4.94–13.99 | 25.51 18.02–33.00 15.97–35.05 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.63 7.69–13.57 6.86–14.40 | 6.71 4.02–9.39 3.29–10.12 | 17.34 11.71–22.96 10.15–24.53 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.76 2.88–6.64 2.33–7.18 | 2.87 1.22–4.53 0.73–5.02 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.27 4.06–8.48 3.48–9.06 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.45–6.52 | 10.25 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.58 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 50.42 43.63–57.21 41.96–58.88 | 47.87 41.09–54.66 39.42–56.33 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 426 359–493 341–511 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 833 699–967 664–1002 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.41 65.38–73.44 64.09–74.73 | 71.63 67.31–75.95 66.00–77.26 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 12.78 9.95–15.62 9.19–16.38 | 10.96 8.01–13.90 7.27–14.65 | 23.74 17.96–29.53 16.46–31.03 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 2.41 1.32–3.51 1.03–3.79 | 4.06 1.81–6.32 1.22–6.91 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 2.11 0.99–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.17 1.99–6.35 1.43–6.91 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.57 2.01–5.12 1.59–5.55 | 5.70 2.70–8.69 1.89–9.50 | 20% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+