Championship·Regular Season - 39·
Championship·Regular Season - 39·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.162.67safe0.54–2.480.31–2.010.85–4.50safer0.29–2.730.08–2.240.37–4.98
Shots on target
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.768.49safe2.87–6.592.01–5.504.88–12.09safer2.38–7.081.55–5.973.92–13.05
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5110.3825.89safe11.58–19.436.82–13.9418.40–33.38safer10.49–20.525.86–14.9016.35–35.43
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.497.2316.72safe6.54–12.434.55–9.9211.10–22.34safer5.71–13.263.82–10.659.53–23.91
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.057.68safe2.75–6.521.39–4.704.15–11.22safer2.21–7.060.90–5.193.11–12.25
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.734.2910.02safe3.51–7.942.29–6.295.80–14.23safer2.94–8.521.76–6.824.70–15.34
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction50.4449.17safe43.65–57.2342.39–55.96safer41.98–58.9040.72–57.63
Passes
56%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction480460941safe413–547394–527807–1074safer395–566377–544771–1110
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction68.1171.42safe64.09–72.1467.10–75.75safer62.79–73.4465.79–77.06
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6411.5922.23safe7.81–13.488.65–14.5416.45–28.02safer7.05–14.247.90–15.2814.95–29.52
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.493.01safe0.37–2.690.39–2.580.76–5.27safer0.07–2.990.10–2.870.17–5.86
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.133.49safe0.31–2.411.00–3.261.31–5.67safer0.04–2.670.71–3.550.75–6.22
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.415.66safe0.81–3.681.86–4.972.66–8.65safer0.42–4.071.43–5.391.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.16 0.31–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.67 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.87–6.59 2.38–7.08 | 3.76 2.01–5.50 1.55–5.97 | 8.49 4.88–12.09 3.92–13.05 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.51 11.58–19.43 10.49–20.52 | 10.38 6.82–13.94 5.86–14.90 | 25.89 18.40–33.38 16.35–35.43 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 9.49 6.54–12.43 5.71–13.26 | 7.23 4.55–9.92 3.82–10.65 | 16.72 11.10–22.34 9.53–23.91 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.75–6.52 2.21–7.06 | 3.05 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 7.68 4.15–11.22 3.11–12.25 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 5.73 3.51–7.94 2.94–8.52 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.82 | 10.02 5.80–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 50.44 43.65–57.23 41.98–58.90 | 49.17 42.39–55.96 40.72–57.63 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 480 413–547 395–566 | 460 394–527 377–544 | 941 807–1074 771–1110 | 56% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.11 64.09–72.14 62.79–73.44 | 71.42 67.10–75.75 65.79–77.06 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 10.64 7.81–13.48 7.05–14.24 | 11.59 8.65–14.54 7.90–15.28 | 22.23 16.45–28.02 14.95–29.52 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.49 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.87 | 3.01 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.86 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.22 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 5.66 2.66–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.