Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.253.03safe0.80–2.740.40–2.111.20–4.85safer0.55–2.990.17–2.340.72–5.33
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.039.42safe3.53–7.252.29–5.775.82–13.03safer3.04–7.741.82–6.244.86–13.98
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7411.8026.54safe10.82–18.678.24–15.3619.06–34.03safer9.73–19.767.28–16.3217.01–36.08
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.447.6618.10safe7.50–13.384.98–10.3412.48–23.73safer6.67–14.214.24–11.0810.91–25.29
Blocked shots
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.543.286.82safe1.66–5.421.62–4.933.28–10.35safer1.11–5.971.13–5.422.25–11.39
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.094.5310.62safe3.88–8.312.53–6.536.41–14.84safer3.31–8.882.00–7.065.30–15.95
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.7246.66safe47.93–61.5139.87–53.44safer46.26–63.1838.20–55.11
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction512416928safe445–579350–483795–1062safer427–598332–500759–1098
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction67.8369.13safe63.80–71.8664.80–73.45safer62.51–73.1563.50–74.76
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2310.2420.48safe7.40–13.077.30–13.1914.69–26.26safer6.64–13.836.55–13.9413.19–27.76
Offsides
57%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.335.58safe2.08–4.411.24–3.433.33–7.83safer1.78–4.710.95–3.722.74–8.42
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.743.14safe0.35–2.450.61–2.870.96–5.32safer0.09–2.720.32–3.160.40–5.87
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.506.24safe1.31–4.181.94–5.053.25–9.23safer0.92–4.561.52–5.482.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 3.03 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.53–7.25 3.04–7.74 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 9.42 5.82–13.03 4.86–13.98 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.74 10.82–18.67 9.73–19.76 | 11.80 8.24–15.36 7.28–16.32 | 26.54 19.06–34.03 17.01–36.08 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 10.44 7.50–13.38 6.67–14.21 | 7.66 4.98–10.34 4.24–11.08 | 18.10 12.48–23.73 10.91–25.29 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.42 1.11–5.97 | 3.28 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.25–11.39 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Corners | 6.09 3.88–8.31 3.31–8.88 | 4.53 2.53–6.53 2.00–7.06 | 10.62 6.41–14.84 5.30–15.95 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 54.72 47.93–61.51 46.26–63.18 | 46.66 39.87–53.44 38.20–55.11 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 512 445–579 427–598 | 416 350–483 332–500 | 928 795–1062 759–1098 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.83 63.80–71.86 62.51–73.15 | 69.13 64.80–73.45 63.50–74.76 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 10.23 7.40–13.07 6.64–13.83 | 10.24 7.30–13.19 6.55–13.94 | 20.48 14.69–26.26 13.19–27.76 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 3.25 2.08–4.41 1.78–4.71 | 2.33 1.24–3.43 0.95–3.72 | 5.58 3.33–7.83 2.74–8.42 | 57% 16% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.14 0.96–5.32 0.40–5.87 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.31–4.18 0.92–4.56 | 3.50 1.94–5.05 1.52–5.48 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 31% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.