Championship·Regular Season - 39·
Championship·Regular Season - 39·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.260.773.03safe1.29–3.230.00–1.621.21–4.85safer1.04–3.480.00–1.850.73–5.33
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.132.858.97safe4.26–7.991.11–4.595.37–12.58safer3.77–8.480.64–5.064.41–13.53
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.248.5626.80safe14.32–22.175.00–12.1219.32–34.29safer13.23–23.264.04–13.0817.27–36.34
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.295.6617.95safe9.34–15.232.98–8.3412.33–23.57safer8.51–16.062.25–9.0810.76–25.14
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.512.518.02safe3.63–7.390.86–4.164.48–11.55safer3.08–7.930.37–4.663.45–12.59
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.593.4811.07safe5.38–9.811.48–5.486.86–15.29safer4.81–10.380.95–6.015.75–16.40
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.1337.10safe55.34–68.9230.32–43.89safer53.67–70.5928.65–45.56
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction590332922safe523–658265–398788–1056safer505–676248–416753–1091
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction77.0268.56safe72.99–81.0564.24–72.89safer71.70–82.3462.93–74.20
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2412.0122.25safe7.40–13.089.07–14.9616.47–28.04safer6.65–13.838.32–15.7114.97–29.54
Offsides
47%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.361.994.35safe1.20–3.520.90–3.092.09–6.60safer0.89–3.820.61–3.371.51–7.19
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.123.43safe0.26–2.360.99–3.251.25–5.60safer0.00–2.620.70–3.540.69–6.16
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.073.936.00safe0.63–3.502.37–5.493.00–8.99safer0.24–3.891.95–5.912.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.29–3.23 1.04–3.48 | 0.77 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 71% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.13 4.26–7.99 3.77–8.48 | 2.85 1.11–4.59 0.64–5.06 | 8.97 5.37–12.58 4.41–13.53 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.24 14.32–22.17 13.23–23.26 | 8.56 5.00–12.12 4.04–13.08 | 26.80 19.32–34.29 17.27–36.34 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.29 9.34–15.23 8.51–16.06 | 5.66 2.98–8.34 2.25–9.08 | 17.95 12.33–23.57 10.76–25.14 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.51 3.63–7.39 3.08–7.93 | 2.51 0.86–4.16 0.37–4.66 | 8.02 4.48–11.55 3.45–12.59 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.59 5.38–9.81 4.81–10.38 | 3.48 1.48–5.48 0.95–6.01 | 11.07 6.86–15.29 5.75–16.40 | 86% |
| Possession % | 62.13 55.34–68.92 53.67–70.59 | 37.10 30.32–43.89 28.65–45.56 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 590 523–658 505–676 | 332 265–398 248–416 | 922 788–1056 753–1091 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.02 72.99–81.05 71.70–82.34 | 68.56 64.24–72.89 62.93–74.20 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.24 7.40–13.08 6.65–13.83 | 12.01 9.07–14.96 8.32–15.71 | 22.25 16.47–28.04 14.97–29.54 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.36 1.20–3.52 0.89–3.82 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.37 | 4.35 2.09–6.60 1.51–7.19 | 47% 20% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.43 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 3.93 2.37–5.49 1.95–5.91 | 6.00 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+