Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.382.72safe0.38–2.310.52–2.230.90–4.54safer0.12–2.560.30–2.460.42–5.02
Shots on target
37%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.678.87safe2.34–6.072.92–6.415.27–12.48safer1.85–6.562.46–6.884.31–13.43
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7712.2225.99safe9.85–17.708.66–15.7818.51–33.48safer8.76–18.797.70–16.7416.46–35.53
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.767.9917.75safe6.82–12.705.31–10.6712.13–23.38safer5.99–13.534.57–11.4110.56–24.94
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.384.347.72safe1.50–5.262.69–5.994.19–11.26safer0.96–5.812.19–6.483.15–12.29
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.575.0010.57safe3.36–7.783.00–7.006.36–14.79safer2.78–8.362.47–7.535.25–15.89
Possession %
14%
84%
homeawayprediction41.9659.46safe35.17–48.7552.68–66.25safer33.50–50.4251.01–67.92
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction358492850safe290–425426–559716–984safer272–443408–576681–1020
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction60.8573.05safe56.82–64.8868.73–77.38safer55.53–66.1867.42–78.69
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6611.9325.59safe10.83–16.508.98–14.8719.81–31.37safer10.07–17.268.23–15.6218.30–32.88
Offsides
63%
17%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.941.734.67safe1.78–4.100.63–2.822.41–6.92safer1.48–4.400.35–3.111.82–7.51
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.973.56safe0.54–2.640.84–3.101.38–5.74safer0.27–2.900.55–3.390.83–6.30
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.715.65safe1.51–4.381.15–4.272.66–8.64safer1.12–4.770.73–4.691.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.38–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.38 0.52–2.23 0.30–2.46 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.34–6.07 1.85–6.56 | 4.67 2.92–6.41 2.46–6.88 | 8.87 5.27–12.48 4.31–13.43 | 37% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.77 9.85–17.70 8.76–18.79 | 12.22 8.66–15.78 7.70–16.74 | 25.99 18.51–33.48 16.46–35.53 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.76 6.82–12.70 5.99–13.53 | 7.99 5.31–10.67 4.57–11.41 | 17.75 12.13–23.38 10.56–24.94 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.26 0.96–5.81 | 4.34 2.69–5.99 2.19–6.48 | 7.72 4.19–11.26 3.15–12.29 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.78 2.78–8.36 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.47–7.53 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.89 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 41.96 35.17–48.75 33.50–50.42 | 59.46 52.68–66.25 51.01–67.92 | — | 14% 84% |
| Passes | 358 290–425 272–443 | 492 426–559 408–576 | 850 716–984 681–1020 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.85 56.82–64.88 55.53–66.18 | 73.05 68.73–77.38 67.42–78.69 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 13.66 10.83–16.50 10.07–17.26 | 11.93 8.98–14.87 8.23–15.62 | 25.59 19.81–31.37 18.30–32.88 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.94 1.78–4.10 1.48–4.40 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 4.67 2.41–6.92 1.82–7.51 | 63% 17% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 2.71 1.15–4.27 0.73–4.69 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.85–9.46 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.