Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.463.58safe1.15–3.080.61–2.321.75–5.40safer0.90–3.340.38–2.541.27–5.88
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.469.95safe3.62–7.352.72–6.206.34–13.55safer3.13–7.842.25–6.675.39–14.51
Total shots
81%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6010.7126.31safe11.68–19.537.15–14.2718.83–33.80safer10.59–20.626.19–15.2316.78–35.85
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.717.7918.50safe7.77–13.655.11–10.4712.88–24.13safer6.94–14.484.37–11.2111.31–25.69
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.732.607.32safe2.84–6.610.95–4.253.79–10.86safer2.30–7.150.45–4.742.75–11.90
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.1610.32safe3.95–8.372.16–6.166.10–14.53safer3.37–8.951.62–6.695.00–15.64
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.4946.77safe46.70–60.2839.98–53.55safer45.03–61.9538.31–55.22
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction474397871safe407–542330–463738–1005safer389–560313–481702–1041
Pass accuracy %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction73.3269.89safe69.29–77.3565.57–74.22safer68.00–78.6564.26–75.52
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5711.7922.36safe7.73–13.408.85–14.7416.58–28.14safer6.97–14.168.10–15.4915.07–29.65
Offsides
19%
15%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.873.295.16safe0.71–3.032.19–4.382.91–7.41safer0.41–3.341.91–4.672.32–8.00
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.983.42safe0.40–2.490.85–3.101.24–5.60safer0.13–2.760.56–3.400.68–6.16
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.465.95safe1.05–3.931.91–5.022.96–8.95safer0.67–4.311.48–5.442.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.15–3.08 0.90–3.34 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.54 | 3.58 1.75–5.40 1.27–5.88 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.48 3.62–7.35 3.13–7.84 | 4.46 2.72–6.20 2.25–6.67 | 9.95 6.34–13.55 5.39–14.51 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.60 11.68–19.53 10.59–20.62 | 10.71 7.15–14.27 6.19–15.23 | 26.31 18.83–33.80 16.78–35.85 | 81% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.71 7.77–13.65 6.94–14.48 | 7.79 5.11–10.47 4.37–11.21 | 18.50 12.88–24.13 11.31–25.69 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.84–6.61 2.30–7.15 | 2.60 0.95–4.25 0.45–4.74 | 7.32 3.79–10.86 2.75–11.90 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.95–8.37 3.37–8.95 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.62–6.69 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 53.49 46.70–60.28 45.03–61.95 | 46.77 39.98–53.55 38.31–55.22 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 474 407–542 389–560 | 397 330–463 313–481 | 871 738–1005 702–1041 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.32 69.29–77.35 68.00–78.65 | 69.89 65.57–74.22 64.26–75.52 | — | 65% 31% |
| Fouls | 10.57 7.73–13.40 6.97–14.16 | 11.79 8.85–14.74 8.10–15.49 | 22.36 16.58–28.14 15.07–29.65 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.34 | 3.29 2.19–4.38 1.91–4.67 | 5.16 2.91–7.41 2.32–8.00 | 19% 15% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.40–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.98 0.85–3.10 0.56–3.40 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.68–6.16 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.05–3.93 0.67–4.31 | 3.46 1.91–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 5.95 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+