Championship·Regular Season - 39·
Championship·Regular Season - 39·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
22%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.890.802.68safe0.92–2.850.00–1.650.86–4.50safer0.67–3.100.00–1.880.38–4.98
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.773.008.78safe3.91–7.641.26–4.755.17–12.38safer3.42–8.120.80–5.214.22–13.34
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.059.3327.38safe14.12–21.975.77–12.8919.89–34.87safer13.03–23.064.81–13.8517.84–36.92
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.256.6717.93safe8.31–14.203.99–9.3612.31–23.55safer7.48–15.033.26–10.0910.74–25.12
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.223.058.28safe3.34–7.111.40–4.714.74–11.81safer2.80–7.650.91–5.203.71–12.85
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.713.7810.49safe4.50–8.921.78–5.786.28–14.71safer3.92–9.501.25–6.325.17–15.81
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.9632.94safe60.17–73.7526.16–39.73safer58.50–75.4224.49–41.40
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction617281898safe550–685214–347765–1032safer532–703197–365729–1068
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction76.8366.72safe72.80–80.8562.39–71.04safer71.50–82.1561.08–72.35
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0913.1023.20safe7.25–12.9310.16–16.0517.41–28.98safer6.50–13.689.41–16.8015.91–30.48
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.463.18safe0.55–2.870.37–2.560.92–5.43safer0.25–3.180.08–2.840.33–6.02
Yellow cards
21%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.182.063.23safe0.13–2.220.93–3.191.06–5.41safer0.00–2.490.64–3.480.50–5.97
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.595.85safe0.82–3.692.03–5.152.86–8.84safer0.44–4.081.61–5.572.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.85 0.67–3.10 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 63% 22% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.77 3.91–7.64 3.42–8.12 | 3.00 1.26–4.75 0.80–5.21 | 8.78 5.17–12.38 4.22–13.34 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 18.05 14.12–21.97 13.03–23.06 | 9.33 5.77–12.89 4.81–13.85 | 27.38 19.89–34.87 17.84–36.92 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.25 8.31–14.20 7.48–15.03 | 6.67 3.99–9.36 3.26–10.09 | 17.93 12.31–23.55 10.74–25.12 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 5.22 3.34–7.11 2.80–7.65 | 3.05 1.40–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 8.28 4.74–11.81 3.71–12.85 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.71 4.50–8.92 3.92–9.50 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.25–6.32 | 10.49 6.28–14.71 5.17–15.81 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 66.96 60.17–73.75 58.50–75.42 | 32.94 26.16–39.73 24.49–41.40 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 617 550–685 532–703 | 281 214–347 197–365 | 898 765–1032 729–1068 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.83 72.80–80.85 71.50–82.15 | 66.72 62.39–71.04 61.08–72.35 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.09 7.25–12.93 6.50–13.68 | 13.10 10.16–16.05 9.41–16.80 | 23.20 17.41–28.98 15.91–30.48 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.18 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.84 | 3.18 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.22 0.00–2.49 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.23 1.06–5.41 0.50–5.97 | 21% 21% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.44–4.08 | 3.59 2.03–5.15 1.61–5.57 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+