Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.322.81safe0.52–2.460.47–2.180.99–4.63safer0.27–2.710.24–2.410.51–5.11
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.384.188.56safe2.51–6.242.44–5.924.95–12.16safer2.02–6.731.97–6.394.00–13.12
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8712.5225.39safe8.94–16.798.96–16.0917.90–32.88safer7.85–17.888.00–17.0515.85–34.93
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.218.6116.82safe5.27–11.155.93–11.2911.19–22.44safer4.44–11.985.19–12.039.63–24.01
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.687.33safe1.77–5.542.02–5.333.80–10.87safer1.23–6.081.53–5.822.76–11.91
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.024.549.55safe2.80–7.232.54–6.545.34–13.77safer2.23–7.802.00–7.074.23–14.87
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.2444.72safe49.45–63.0337.93–51.50safer47.78–64.7036.26–53.17
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction529398927safe462–596331–464793–1060safer444–614314–482757–1096
Pass accuracy %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction75.1172.54safe71.08–79.1468.22–76.87safer69.79–80.4466.91–78.18
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0211.9523.96safe9.18–14.869.00–14.8918.18–29.75safer8.42–15.618.25–15.6416.68–31.25
Offsides
35%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.614.91safe1.14–3.461.52–3.702.66–7.16safer0.84–3.761.23–3.992.07–7.75
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.903.69safe0.75–2.850.77–3.031.51–5.87safer0.48–3.110.48–3.320.96–6.43
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.722.905.61safe1.28–4.151.34–4.452.62–8.60safer0.89–4.540.92–4.881.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.51–6.24 2.02–6.73 | 4.18 2.44–5.92 1.97–6.39 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 12.87 8.94–16.79 7.85–17.88 | 12.52 8.96–16.09 8.00–17.05 | 25.39 17.90–32.88 15.85–34.93 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.21 5.27–11.15 4.44–11.98 | 8.61 5.93–11.29 5.19–12.03 | 16.82 11.19–22.44 9.63–24.01 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.77–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 3.68 2.02–5.33 1.53–5.82 | 7.33 3.80–10.87 2.76–11.91 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.02 2.80–7.23 2.23–7.80 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.00–7.07 | 9.55 5.34–13.77 4.23–14.87 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 56.24 49.45–63.03 47.78–64.70 | 44.72 37.93–51.50 36.26–53.17 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 529 462–596 444–614 | 398 331–464 314–482 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.11 71.08–79.14 69.79–80.44 | 72.54 68.22–76.87 66.91–78.18 | — | 61% 35% |
| Fouls | 12.02 9.18–14.86 8.42–15.61 | 11.95 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 23.96 18.18–29.75 16.68–31.25 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.30 1.14–3.46 0.84–3.76 | 2.61 1.52–3.70 1.23–3.99 | 4.91 2.66–7.16 2.07–7.75 | 35% 18% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 2.90 1.34–4.45 0.92–4.88 | 5.61 2.62–8.60 1.81–9.42 | 38% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+