Championship·Regular Season - 39·
Championship·Regular Season - 39·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.262.80safe0.58–2.520.40–2.110.98–4.63safer0.33–2.770.17–2.340.50–5.11
Shots on target
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.439.49safe3.20–6.922.69–6.185.89–13.10safer2.71–7.412.23–6.644.93–14.06
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1713.0029.17safe12.24–20.099.44–16.5621.68–36.66safer11.15–21.188.48–17.5219.63–38.71
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.768.6618.42safe6.81–12.705.98–11.3512.80–24.04safer5.99–13.535.25–12.0811.23–25.61
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.347.75safe2.52–6.291.69–5.004.21–11.28safer1.98–6.831.20–5.493.18–12.32
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.8410.58safe3.53–7.962.84–6.846.37–14.80safer2.96–8.532.31–7.375.26–15.90
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.9545.57safe48.16–61.7438.78–52.35safer46.49–63.4137.11–54.02
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction461379840safe394–528312–445706–973safer376–546295–463670–1009
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction70.5371.04safe66.50–74.5666.72–75.37safer65.21–75.8565.41–76.68
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4011.0922.49safe8.56–14.248.15–14.0416.71–28.28safer7.81–15.007.40–14.7915.21–29.78
Offsides
39%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.034.01safe0.82–3.140.94–3.121.75–6.26safer0.52–3.440.65–3.411.16–6.85
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.773.75safe0.93–3.030.64–2.901.57–5.93safer0.67–3.300.35–3.191.02–6.49
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.396.23safe1.41–4.291.83–4.943.24–9.23safer1.03–4.671.40–5.372.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.20–6.92 2.71–7.41 | 4.43 2.69–6.18 2.23–6.64 | 9.49 5.89–13.10 4.93–14.06 | 52% 36% |
| Total shots | 16.17 12.24–20.09 11.15–21.18 | 13.00 9.44–16.56 8.48–17.52 | 29.17 21.68–36.66 19.63–38.71 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.76 6.81–12.70 5.99–13.53 | 8.66 5.98–11.35 5.25–12.08 | 18.42 12.80–24.04 11.23–25.61 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.52–6.29 1.98–6.83 | 3.34 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 7.75 4.21–11.28 3.18–12.32 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.53–7.96 2.96–8.53 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.37 | 10.58 6.37–14.80 5.26–15.90 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 54.95 48.16–61.74 46.49–63.41 | 45.57 38.78–52.35 37.11–54.02 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 461 394–528 376–546 | 379 312–445 295–463 | 840 706–973 670–1009 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.53 66.50–74.56 65.21–75.85 | 71.04 66.72–75.37 65.41–76.68 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 11.40 8.56–14.24 7.81–15.00 | 11.09 8.15–14.04 7.40–14.79 | 22.49 16.71–28.28 15.21–29.78 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 2.03 0.94–3.12 0.65–3.41 | 4.01 1.75–6.26 1.16–6.85 | 39% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.67–3.30 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.41–4.29 1.03–4.67 | 3.39 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.37 | 6.23 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.