Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.880.912.80safe0.91–2.850.06–1.770.97–4.62safer0.66–3.100.00–2.000.49–5.10
Shots on target
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.422.898.31safe3.56–7.281.14–4.634.70–11.91safer3.07–7.770.68–5.093.75–12.87
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.719.6826.39safe12.79–20.646.12–13.2418.90–33.88safer11.69–21.735.16–14.2016.85–35.93
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.255.9016.14safe7.31–13.193.21–8.5810.52–21.77safer6.48–14.022.48–9.318.95–23.33
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.532.557.08safe2.65–6.410.89–4.203.54–10.61safer2.10–6.950.40–4.692.51–11.65
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.413.469.87safe4.20–8.621.46–5.465.66–14.09safer3.62–9.200.93–5.994.55–15.19
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.0637.99safe55.26–68.8531.20–44.77safer53.60–70.5229.53–46.44
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction557324881safe490–624258–391748–1015safer472–642240–408712–1051
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction75.8367.76safe71.80–79.8663.43–72.08safer70.51–81.1662.12–73.39
Fouls
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1014.2224.32safe7.26–12.9411.27–17.1618.54–30.10safer6.51–13.6910.53–17.9117.03–31.61
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.893.34safe0.29–2.610.80–2.991.08–5.59safer0.00–2.910.51–3.270.50–6.18
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.253.61safe0.31–2.411.12–3.381.44–5.79safer0.04–2.680.83–3.670.88–6.35
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.275.49safe0.78–3.661.72–4.832.50–8.49safer0.40–4.041.29–5.251.69–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.80 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.42 3.56–7.28 3.07–7.77 | 2.89 1.14–4.63 0.68–5.09 | 8.31 4.70–11.91 3.75–12.87 | 76% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.71 12.79–20.64 11.69–21.73 | 9.68 6.12–13.24 5.16–14.20 | 26.39 18.90–33.88 16.85–35.93 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.25 7.31–13.19 6.48–14.02 | 5.90 3.21–8.58 2.48–9.31 | 16.14 10.52–21.77 8.95–23.33 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.65–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 2.55 0.89–4.20 0.40–4.69 | 7.08 3.54–10.61 2.51–11.65 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.20–8.62 3.62–9.20 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.93–5.99 | 9.87 5.66–14.09 4.55–15.19 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 62.06 55.26–68.85 53.60–70.52 | 37.99 31.20–44.77 29.53–46.44 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 557 490–624 472–642 | 324 258–391 240–408 | 881 748–1015 712–1051 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.83 71.80–79.86 70.51–81.16 | 67.76 63.43–72.08 62.12–73.39 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 10.10 7.26–12.94 6.51–13.69 | 14.22 11.27–17.16 10.53–17.91 | 24.32 18.54–30.10 17.03–31.61 | 17% 77% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 3.34 1.08–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.68 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 3.61 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.78–3.66 0.40–4.04 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 5.49 2.50–8.49 1.69–9.30 | 25% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.