Championship·Regular Season - 39·
Championship·Regular Season - 39·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
28%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.192.35safe0.20–2.130.33–2.040.53–4.17safer0.00–2.380.10–2.270.05–4.65
Shots on target
44%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.807.66safe2.00–5.722.05–5.544.05–11.26safer1.51–6.211.59–6.013.10–12.22
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3211.4723.78safe8.39–16.247.90–15.0316.30–31.27safer7.30–17.336.94–15.9914.25–33.32
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.617.8016.41safe5.67–11.555.12–10.4910.79–22.04safer4.84–12.384.39–11.229.22–23.60
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.763.657.41safe1.88–5.642.00–5.303.87–10.94safer1.33–6.181.50–5.792.84–11.98
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.034.509.53safe2.81–7.242.50–6.505.32–13.74safer2.24–7.811.97–7.034.21–14.85
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction49.2151.81safe42.42–56.0045.03–58.60safer40.75–57.6743.35–60.27
Passes
50%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction447446893safe380–514379–512759–1026safer362–532362–530723–1062
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction65.5772.59safe61.54–69.6068.27–76.92safer60.25–70.9066.96–78.23
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7210.9521.67safe7.88–13.568.01–13.9015.89–27.45safer7.13–14.317.26–14.6514.38–28.96
Offsides
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.833.49safe0.50–2.820.73–2.921.24–5.74safer0.20–3.120.45–3.210.65–6.33
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.953.43safe0.43–2.530.82–3.081.25–5.61safer0.17–2.800.53–3.370.69–6.17
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
40%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.652.735.38safe1.21–4.081.17–4.292.39–8.37safer0.82–4.470.75–4.711.57–9.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.35 0.53–4.17 0.05–4.65 | 35% 28% 37% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 2.00–5.72 1.51–6.21 | 3.80 2.05–5.54 1.59–6.01 | 7.66 4.05–11.26 3.10–12.22 | 44% 15% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.32 8.39–16.24 7.30–17.33 | 11.47 7.90–15.03 6.94–15.99 | 23.78 16.30–31.27 14.25–33.32 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.61 5.67–11.55 4.84–12.38 | 7.80 5.12–10.49 4.39–11.22 | 16.41 10.79–22.04 9.22–23.60 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.88–5.64 1.33–6.18 | 3.65 2.00–5.30 1.50–5.79 | 7.41 3.87–10.94 2.84–11.98 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.03 2.81–7.24 2.24–7.81 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.03 | 9.53 5.32–13.74 4.21–14.85 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 49.21 42.42–56.00 40.75–57.67 | 51.81 45.03–58.60 43.35–60.27 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 447 380–514 362–532 | 446 379–512 362–530 | 893 759–1026 723–1062 | 50% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.57 61.54–69.60 60.25–70.90 | 72.59 68.27–76.92 66.96–78.23 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.88–13.56 7.13–14.31 | 10.95 8.01–13.90 7.26–14.65 | 21.67 15.89–27.45 14.38–28.96 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.83 0.73–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.49 1.24–5.74 0.65–6.33 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.69–6.17 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 2.73 1.17–4.29 0.75–4.71 | 5.38 2.39–8.37 1.57–9.18 | 40% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+