Championship·Regular Season - 40·
Championship·Regular Season - 40·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.712.96safe0.27–2.210.86–2.571.13–4.78safer0.02–2.460.63–2.800.65–5.26
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.235.189.41safe2.37–6.093.44–6.925.81–13.02safer1.88–6.582.97–7.394.85–13.98
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3514.5327.88safe9.43–17.2810.97–18.0920.40–35.37safer8.34–18.3710.01–19.0518.35–37.42
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5210.0118.53safe5.58–11.477.33–12.6912.91–24.16safer4.75–12.296.59–13.4311.34–25.72
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.923.997.91safe2.04–5.812.33–5.644.38–11.45safer1.50–6.351.84–6.133.34–12.48
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.985.2910.27safe2.77–7.203.29–7.296.06–14.49safer2.20–7.772.76–7.824.95–15.59
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.8756.20safe38.08–51.6649.41–62.98safer36.41–53.3347.74–64.65
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction414524938safe347–482458–590805–1072safer329–500440–608769–1108
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction73.0578.50safe69.02–77.0874.17–82.82safer67.73–78.3772.86–84.13
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9611.6322.59safe8.12–13.808.69–14.5816.81–28.37safer7.37–14.557.94–15.3315.30–29.88
Offsides
44%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.563.35safe0.64–2.960.47–2.651.10–5.61safer0.33–3.260.18–2.940.51–6.20
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.053.91safe0.82–2.910.92–3.171.73–6.09safer0.55–3.180.63–3.471.17–6.65
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
49%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.342.866.20safe1.90–4.771.31–4.423.21–9.19safer1.51–5.160.88–4.842.40–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.71 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.80 | 2.96 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 28% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 5.18 3.44–6.92 2.97–7.39 | 9.41 5.81–13.02 4.85–13.98 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 13.35 9.43–17.28 8.34–18.37 | 14.53 10.97–18.09 10.01–19.05 | 27.88 20.40–35.37 18.35–37.42 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.52 5.58–11.47 4.75–12.29 | 10.01 7.33–12.69 6.59–13.43 | 18.53 12.91–24.16 11.34–25.72 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 3.99 2.33–5.64 1.84–6.13 | 7.91 4.38–11.45 3.34–12.48 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.77–7.20 2.20–7.77 | 5.29 3.29–7.29 2.76–7.82 | 10.27 6.06–14.49 4.95–15.59 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 44.87 38.08–51.66 36.41–53.33 | 56.20 49.41–62.98 47.74–64.65 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 414 347–482 329–500 | 524 458–590 440–608 | 938 805–1072 769–1108 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.05 69.02–77.08 67.73–78.37 | 78.50 74.17–82.82 72.86–84.13 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 10.96 8.12–13.80 7.37–14.55 | 11.63 8.69–14.58 7.94–15.33 | 22.59 16.81–28.37 15.30–29.88 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.33–3.26 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 44% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.82–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 2.05 0.92–3.17 0.63–3.47 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.17–6.65 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.34 1.90–4.77 1.51–5.16 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.40–10.00 | 49% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.