Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
27%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.432.48safe0.09–2.030.57–2.280.66–4.31safer0.00–2.280.34–2.510.18–4.79
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.003.867.86safe2.14–5.862.11–5.604.25–11.46safer1.65–6.351.65–6.063.30–12.42
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4712.1725.64safe9.55–17.408.60–15.7318.15–33.13safer8.45–18.497.65–16.6916.10–35.18
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.128.1616.27safe5.18–11.065.47–10.8410.65–21.90safer4.35–11.894.74–11.579.08–23.46
Blocked shots
46%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.356.96safe1.73–5.491.70–5.003.43–10.50safer1.19–6.041.21–5.502.39–11.53
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.835.3010.13safe2.62–7.043.30–7.305.92–14.34safer2.04–7.622.76–7.834.81–15.45
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction46.8753.24safe40.08–53.6646.46–60.03safer38.41–55.3344.78–61.70
Passes
39%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction381414795safe314–448347–480661–928safer295–466330–498625–964
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction63.3569.65safe59.32–67.3865.33–73.98safer58.03–68.6764.02–75.29
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0511.7922.84safe8.21–13.898.85–14.7417.06–28.62safer7.45–14.648.10–15.4915.55–30.13
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.473.29safe0.67–2.990.37–2.561.04–5.55safer0.36–3.290.09–2.850.45–6.14
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.873.57safe0.65–2.750.74–3.001.39–5.75safer0.38–3.020.45–3.290.83–6.30
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
37%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.642.885.52safe1.20–4.071.32–4.432.52–8.51safer0.81–4.460.90–4.861.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 2.48 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.79 | 28% 27% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.14–5.86 1.65–6.35 | 3.86 2.11–5.60 1.65–6.06 | 7.86 4.25–11.46 3.30–12.42 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.47 9.55–17.40 8.45–18.49 | 12.17 8.60–15.73 7.65–16.69 | 25.64 18.15–33.13 16.10–35.18 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.12 5.18–11.06 4.35–11.89 | 8.16 5.47–10.84 4.74–11.57 | 16.27 10.65–21.90 9.08–23.46 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.19–6.04 | 3.35 1.70–5.00 1.21–5.50 | 6.96 3.43–10.50 2.39–11.53 | 46% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 4.83 2.62–7.04 2.04–7.62 | 5.30 3.30–7.30 2.76–7.83 | 10.13 5.92–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 46.87 40.08–53.66 38.41–55.33 | 53.24 46.46–60.03 44.78–61.70 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 381 314–448 295–466 | 414 347–480 330–498 | 795 661–928 625–964 | 39% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.35 59.32–67.38 58.03–68.67 | 69.65 65.33–73.98 64.02–75.29 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.21–13.89 7.45–14.64 | 11.79 8.85–14.74 8.10–15.49 | 22.84 17.06–28.62 15.55–30.13 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.36–3.29 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.29 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.02 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.30 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 2.88 1.32–4.43 0.90–4.86 | 5.52 2.52–8.51 1.71–9.32 | 37% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+