Championship·Regular Season - 40·
Championship·Regular Season - 40·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.772.93safe0.19–2.130.91–2.621.10–4.75safer0.00–2.380.68–2.850.62–5.23
Shots on target
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.975.099.06safe2.11–5.833.35–6.835.46–12.67safer1.62–6.322.88–7.304.50–13.62
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2314.2726.50safe8.30–16.1510.71–17.8419.02–33.99safer7.21–17.249.75–18.8016.97–36.04
Shots in box
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.249.9018.13safe5.29–11.187.22–12.5812.51–23.76safer4.46–12.016.48–13.3210.94–25.32
Blocked shots
30%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.684.668.33safe1.79–5.563.00–6.314.80–11.87safer1.25–6.102.51–6.803.76–12.90
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.325.3610.69safe3.11–7.533.36–7.366.47–14.90safer2.53–8.112.83–7.905.36–16.01
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction41.0059.26safe34.21–47.7952.47–66.04safer32.54–49.4650.80–67.71
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction369526896safe302–436460–593762–1029safer284–455442–610726–1065
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction67.5877.83safe63.55–71.6173.51–82.16safer62.26–72.9072.20–83.46
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5210.2220.74safe7.68–13.357.28–13.1714.96–26.52safer6.92–14.116.53–13.9213.45–28.03
Offsides
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.334.22safe0.73–3.051.24–3.421.97–6.48safer0.43–3.360.95–3.711.38–7.07
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.613.24safe0.57–2.670.48–2.741.06–5.41safer0.31–2.940.19–3.030.50–5.97
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.535.76safe1.80–4.670.97–4.092.77–8.76safer1.41–5.060.55–4.511.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.77 0.91–2.62 0.68–2.85 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.11–5.83 1.62–6.32 | 5.09 3.35–6.83 2.88–7.30 | 9.06 5.46–12.67 4.50–13.62 | 29% 58% |
| Total shots | 12.23 8.30–16.15 7.21–17.24 | 14.27 10.71–17.84 9.75–18.80 | 26.50 19.02–33.99 16.97–36.04 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 8.24 5.29–11.18 4.46–12.01 | 9.90 7.22–12.58 6.48–13.32 | 18.13 12.51–23.76 10.94–25.32 | 31% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.79–5.56 1.25–6.10 | 4.66 3.00–6.31 2.51–6.80 | 8.33 4.80–11.87 3.76–12.90 | 30% 13% 56% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.53 2.53–8.11 | 5.36 3.36–7.36 2.83–7.90 | 10.69 6.47–14.90 5.36–16.01 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 41.00 34.21–47.79 32.54–49.46 | 59.26 52.47–66.04 50.80–67.71 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 369 302–436 284–455 | 526 460–593 442–610 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.58 63.55–71.61 62.26–72.90 | 77.83 73.51–82.16 72.20–83.46 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.68–13.35 6.92–14.11 | 10.22 7.28–13.17 6.53–13.92 | 20.74 14.96–26.52 13.45–28.03 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.36 | 2.33 1.24–3.42 0.95–3.71 | 4.22 1.97–6.48 1.38–7.07 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.24 1.06–5.41 0.50–5.97 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.80–4.67 1.41–5.06 | 2.53 0.97–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 5.76 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.