Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.452.64safe0.22–2.160.60–2.300.82–4.46safer0.00–2.410.37–2.530.34–4.94
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.134.438.56safe2.27–5.992.69–6.174.95–12.16safer1.78–6.482.22–6.644.00–13.12
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6212.2124.83safe8.69–16.548.65–15.7717.34–32.31safer7.60–17.637.69–16.7315.29–34.37
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.657.5616.21safe5.70–11.594.88–10.2410.58–21.83safer4.87–12.424.14–10.989.02–23.40
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.753.587.33safe1.86–5.631.92–5.233.79–10.86safer1.32–6.171.43–5.722.75–11.90
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.024.819.84safe2.81–7.242.81–6.815.62–14.05safer2.23–7.812.28–7.354.52–15.16
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.3862.41safe31.59–45.1755.62–69.19safer29.92–46.8453.95–70.87
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction341587928safe273–408520–653794–1061safer255–426503–671758–1097
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction65.4376.03safe61.40–69.4671.71–80.35safer60.11–70.7570.40–81.66
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5711.0222.59safe8.73–14.418.07–13.9616.81–28.37safer7.97–15.167.33–14.7115.30–29.87
Offsides
39%
19%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.504.92safe1.26–3.581.40–3.592.67–7.17safer0.96–3.881.12–3.882.08–7.76
Yellow cards
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.503.07safe0.52–2.620.38–2.630.89–5.25safer0.25–2.880.08–2.930.34–5.81
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
43%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.792.665.45safe1.36–4.231.11–4.222.46–8.45safer0.97–4.620.68–4.641.65–9.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.45 0.60–2.30 0.37–2.53 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–5.99 1.78–6.48 | 4.43 2.69–6.17 2.22–6.64 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.62 8.69–16.54 7.60–17.63 | 12.21 8.65–15.77 7.69–16.73 | 24.83 17.34–32.31 15.29–34.37 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.65 5.70–11.59 4.87–12.42 | 7.56 4.88–10.24 4.14–10.98 | 16.21 10.58–21.83 9.02–23.40 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.75 1.86–5.63 1.32–6.17 | 3.58 1.92–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 7.33 3.79–10.86 2.75–11.90 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.02 2.81–7.24 2.23–7.81 | 4.81 2.81–6.81 2.28–7.35 | 9.84 5.62–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 38.38 31.59–45.17 29.92–46.84 | 62.41 55.62–69.19 53.95–70.87 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 341 273–408 255–426 | 587 520–653 503–671 | 928 794–1061 758–1097 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.43 61.40–69.46 60.11–70.75 | 76.03 71.71–80.35 70.40–81.66 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.57 8.73–14.41 7.97–15.16 | 11.02 8.07–13.96 7.33–14.71 | 22.59 16.81–28.37 15.30–29.87 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.42 1.26–3.58 0.96–3.88 | 2.50 1.40–3.59 1.12–3.88 | 4.92 2.67–7.17 2.08–7.76 | 39% 19% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.50 0.38–2.63 0.08–2.93 | 3.07 0.89–5.25 0.34–5.81 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 2.66 1.11–4.22 0.68–4.64 | 5.45 2.46–8.45 1.65–9.26 | 43% 18% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+