Championship·Regular Season - 40·
Championship·Regular Season - 40·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
27%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.362.47safe0.14–2.080.50–2.210.64–4.29safer0.00–2.330.28–2.440.17–4.77
Shots on target
28%
13%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.394.507.89safe1.53–5.262.75–6.244.28–11.50safer1.04–5.752.29–6.703.33–12.45
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0313.7224.76safe7.11–14.9610.16–17.2817.27–32.24safer6.02–16.059.20–18.2415.22–34.29
Shots in box
31%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.318.7416.06safe4.37–10.266.06–11.4210.43–21.68safer3.54–11.085.32–12.168.87–23.25
Blocked shots
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.154.187.33safe1.26–5.032.53–5.843.80–10.87safer0.72–5.572.04–6.332.76–11.90
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.625.239.85safe2.41–6.833.23–7.235.64–14.07safer1.83–7.412.70–7.774.53–15.17
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.8658.49safe35.07–48.6551.71–65.28safer33.40–50.3250.04–66.95
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction388519907safe321–455452–585773–1040safer303–473435–603737–1076
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction65.3876.77safe61.35–69.4072.45–81.09safer60.05–70.7071.14–82.40
Fouls
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9310.5724.50safe11.09–16.777.63–13.5218.72–30.28safer10.34–17.526.88–14.2717.21–31.79
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.863.87safe0.85–3.170.77–2.961.62–6.12safer0.54–3.470.48–3.241.03–6.71
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.904.07safe1.12–3.220.77–3.021.89–6.25safer0.86–3.490.48–3.321.33–6.80
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
53%
17%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.962.265.22safe1.53–4.400.70–3.812.22–8.21safer1.14–4.790.27–4.241.41–9.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.36 0.50–2.21 0.28–2.44 | 2.47 0.64–4.29 0.17–4.77 | 31% 27% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.39 1.53–5.26 1.04–5.75 | 4.50 2.75–6.24 2.29–6.70 | 7.89 4.28–11.50 3.33–12.45 | 28% 13% 58% |
| Total shots | 11.03 7.11–14.96 6.02–16.05 | 13.72 10.16–17.28 9.20–18.24 | 24.76 17.27–32.24 15.22–34.29 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.31 4.37–10.26 3.54–11.08 | 8.74 6.06–11.42 5.32–12.16 | 16.06 10.43–21.68 8.87–23.25 | 31% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.26–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 4.18 2.53–5.84 2.04–6.33 | 7.33 3.80–10.87 2.76–11.90 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 4.62 2.41–6.83 1.83–7.41 | 5.23 3.23–7.23 2.70–7.77 | 9.85 5.64–14.07 4.53–15.17 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 41.86 35.07–48.65 33.40–50.32 | 58.49 51.71–65.28 50.04–66.95 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 519 452–585 435–603 | 907 773–1040 737–1076 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.38 61.35–69.40 60.05–70.70 | 76.77 72.45–81.09 71.14–82.40 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 13.93 11.09–16.77 10.34–17.52 | 10.57 7.63–13.52 6.88–14.27 | 24.50 18.72–30.28 17.21–31.79 | 72% 22% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.54–3.47 | 1.86 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.24 | 3.87 1.62–6.12 1.03–6.71 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 1.90 0.77–3.02 0.48–3.32 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.33–6.80 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 2.26 0.70–3.81 0.27–4.24 | 5.22 2.22–8.21 1.41–9.02 | 53% 17% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.