Championship·Regular Season - 40·
Championship·Regular Season - 40·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.072.67safe0.63–2.560.22–1.930.85–4.49safer0.38–2.820.00–2.160.37–4.97
Shots on target
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.753.598.35safe2.89–6.621.85–5.334.74–11.95safer2.40–7.111.38–5.803.79–12.91
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5510.9225.48safe10.63–18.487.36–14.4917.99–32.96safer9.54–19.576.40–15.4515.94–35.01
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.267.0117.27safe7.31–13.204.33–9.6911.65–22.89safer6.48–14.033.60–10.4310.08–24.46
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.592.976.56safe1.71–5.481.31–4.623.02–10.10safer1.17–6.020.82–5.111.99–11.13
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.209.75safe3.34–7.762.20–6.215.54–13.97safer2.76–8.341.67–6.744.43–15.07
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.5247.93safe45.73–59.3141.15–54.72safer44.06–60.9839.47–56.39
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction485419904safe417–552353–486770–1037safer399–570335–503734–1073
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction69.3170.00safe65.28–73.3465.67–74.32safer63.99–74.6464.36–75.63
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4910.2220.71safe7.65–13.337.28–13.1714.93–26.49safer6.90–14.086.53–13.9113.42–28.00
Offsides
61%
17%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.801.714.51safe1.64–3.960.62–2.812.26–6.77safer1.34–4.260.33–3.091.67–7.35
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.053.58safe0.48–2.570.92–3.181.40–5.76safer0.21–2.840.63–3.470.84–6.31
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.456.05safe1.17–4.041.89–5.003.06–9.04safer0.78–4.431.47–5.432.25–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.56 0.38–2.82 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.67 0.85–4.49 0.37–4.97 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.75 2.89–6.62 2.40–7.11 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 8.35 4.74–11.95 3.79–12.91 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.55 10.63–18.48 9.54–19.57 | 10.92 7.36–14.49 6.40–15.45 | 25.48 17.99–32.96 15.94–35.01 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.26 7.31–13.20 6.48–14.03 | 7.01 4.33–9.69 3.60–10.43 | 17.27 11.65–22.89 10.08–24.46 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.48 1.17–6.02 | 2.97 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 6.56 3.02–10.10 1.99–11.13 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.34–7.76 2.76–8.34 | 4.20 2.20–6.21 1.67–6.74 | 9.75 5.54–13.97 4.43–15.07 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 52.52 45.73–59.31 44.06–60.98 | 47.93 41.15–54.72 39.47–56.39 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 485 417–552 399–570 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 904 770–1037 734–1073 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.31 65.28–73.34 63.99–74.64 | 70.00 65.67–74.32 64.36–75.63 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.65–13.33 6.90–14.08 | 10.22 7.28–13.17 6.53–13.91 | 20.71 14.93–26.49 13.42–28.00 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.80 1.64–3.96 1.34–4.26 | 1.71 0.62–2.81 0.33–3.09 | 4.51 2.26–6.77 1.67–7.35 | 61% 17% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.48–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.31 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.45 1.89–5.00 1.47–5.43 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.25–9.85 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.