Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.352.69safe0.37–2.310.50–2.210.87–4.52safer0.12–2.560.27–2.430.39–5.00
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.244.238.47safe2.38–6.112.49–5.974.87–12.08safer1.89–6.602.02–6.443.91–13.03
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6612.0825.74safe9.73–17.588.52–15.6418.25–33.22safer8.64–18.677.56–16.6016.20–35.27
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.708.0916.79safe5.76–11.655.41–10.7711.17–22.42safer4.93–12.484.67–11.519.60–23.98
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.747.20safe1.57–5.342.09–5.393.66–10.73safer1.03–5.881.60–5.892.62–11.77
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.679.82safe2.94–7.362.67–6.675.61–14.03safer2.36–7.942.14–7.214.50–15.14
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction48.1152.57safe41.32–54.9045.79–59.36safer39.65–56.5744.12–61.03
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction388416805safe321–456350–483671–938safer303–474332–500635–974
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction66.1473.70safe62.11–70.1769.38–78.02safer60.82–71.4768.07–79.33
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7911.7924.58safe9.95–15.638.84–14.7318.80–30.36safer9.20–16.398.09–15.4817.29–31.86
Offsides
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.432.545.97safe2.27–4.591.44–3.633.72–8.22safer1.97–4.901.15–3.923.13–8.81
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.294.27safe0.92–3.021.16–3.422.09–6.44safer0.66–3.290.87–3.711.53–7.00
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.682.765.43safe1.24–4.111.20–4.322.44–8.43safer0.85–4.500.78–4.741.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.35 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.43 | 2.69 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.38–6.11 1.89–6.60 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 8.47 4.87–12.08 3.91–13.03 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.66 9.73–17.58 8.64–18.67 | 12.08 8.52–15.64 7.56–16.60 | 25.74 18.25–33.22 16.20–35.27 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.70 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.48 | 8.09 5.41–10.77 4.67–11.51 | 16.79 11.17–22.42 9.60–23.98 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.34 1.03–5.88 | 3.74 2.09–5.39 1.60–5.89 | 7.20 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.77 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.94–7.36 2.36–7.94 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.21 | 9.82 5.61–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.11 41.32–54.90 39.65–56.57 | 52.57 45.79–59.36 44.12–61.03 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 388 321–456 303–474 | 416 350–483 332–500 | 805 671–938 635–974 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.14 62.11–70.17 60.82–71.47 | 73.70 69.38–78.02 68.07–79.33 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 12.79 9.95–15.63 9.20–16.39 | 11.79 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.48 | 24.58 18.80–30.36 17.29–31.86 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 3.43 2.27–4.59 1.97–4.90 | 2.54 1.44–3.63 1.15–3.92 | 5.97 3.72–8.22 3.13–8.81 | 56% 16% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.27 2.09–6.44 1.53–7.00 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 2.76 1.20–4.32 0.78–4.74 | 5.43 2.44–8.43 1.63–9.24 | 40% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.