Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.342.77safe0.47–2.400.48–2.190.95–4.59safer0.22–2.650.25–2.420.47–5.07
Shots on target
44%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.324.298.61safe2.46–6.182.55–6.035.01–12.22safer1.97–6.672.08–6.504.05–13.17
Total shots
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7412.7826.52safe9.81–17.669.22–16.3419.03–34.00safer8.72–18.758.26–17.3016.98–36.05
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.409.3417.74safe5.45–11.346.66–12.0212.11–23.36safer4.62–12.175.92–12.7610.55–24.93
Blocked shots
52%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.016.67safe1.78–5.551.35–4.663.14–10.21safer1.24–6.090.86–5.152.10–11.24
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.655.1910.84safe3.44–7.863.19–7.196.62–15.05safer2.86–8.442.65–7.725.52–16.16
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.4945.03safe47.70–61.2838.25–51.82safer46.03–62.9536.58–53.49
Passes
80%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction432329761safe365–499262–395627–895safer347–517245–413592–930
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction64.5464.48safe60.51–68.5760.16–68.80safer59.22–69.8658.85–70.11
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0712.6823.75safe8.23–13.909.74–15.6317.97–29.53safer7.47–14.668.99–16.3816.46–31.04
Offsides
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.603.935.53safe0.44–2.762.84–5.033.28–7.79safer0.14–3.062.55–5.312.69–8.38
Yellow cards
36%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.673.23safe0.52–2.620.54–2.791.05–5.41safer0.25–2.880.25–3.090.50–5.97
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
35%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.145.83safe1.26–4.131.58–4.692.84–8.82safer0.87–4.521.16–5.122.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.47–2.40 0.22–2.65 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.18 1.97–6.67 | 4.29 2.55–6.03 2.08–6.50 | 8.61 5.01–12.22 4.05–13.17 | 44% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.74 9.81–17.66 8.72–18.75 | 12.78 9.22–16.34 8.26–17.30 | 26.52 19.03–34.00 16.98–36.05 | 54% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.40 5.45–11.34 4.62–12.17 | 9.34 6.66–12.02 5.92–12.76 | 17.74 12.11–23.36 10.55–24.93 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.78–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.01 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 6.67 3.14–10.21 2.10–11.24 | 52% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.44–7.86 2.86–8.44 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.65–7.72 | 10.84 6.62–15.05 5.52–16.16 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 54.49 47.70–61.28 46.03–62.95 | 45.03 38.25–51.82 36.58–53.49 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 432 365–499 347–517 | 329 262–395 245–413 | 761 627–895 592–930 | 80% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.54 60.51–68.57 59.22–69.86 | 64.48 60.16–68.80 58.85–70.11 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.90 7.47–14.66 | 12.68 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.38 | 23.75 17.97–29.53 16.46–31.04 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 3.93 2.84–5.03 2.55–5.31 | 5.53 3.28–7.79 2.69–8.38 | 78% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.67 0.54–2.79 0.25–3.09 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.50–5.97 | 36% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.14 1.58–4.69 1.16–5.12 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.03–9.64 | 35% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+