Championship·Regular Season - 42·
Championship·Regular Season - 42·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.242.83safe0.63–2.570.38–2.091.01–4.66safer0.38–2.820.15–2.320.53–5.14
Shots on target
53%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.723.968.68safe2.86–6.592.21–5.705.07–12.28safer2.37–7.081.75–6.164.12–13.24
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0411.7625.80safe10.11–17.968.20–15.3318.32–33.29safer9.02–19.067.24–16.2916.27–35.34
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.287.9517.23safe6.34–12.225.27–10.6311.61–22.85safer5.51–13.054.53–11.3710.04–24.42
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.277.06safe1.91–5.671.62–4.933.53–10.60safer1.37–6.221.13–5.422.49–11.63
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.6110.14safe3.32–7.752.61–6.615.93–14.35safer2.74–8.322.07–7.144.82–15.46
Possession %
47%
49%
homeawayprediction49.9250.34safe43.13–56.7143.56–57.13safer41.46–58.3841.88–58.80
Passes
53%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction482471954safe415–550405–538820–1088safer397–568387–555785–1123
Pass accuracy %
22%
73%
homeawayprediction65.2170.57safe61.18–69.2466.25–74.90safer59.89–70.5364.94–76.21
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3811.8821.27safe6.55–12.228.94–14.8315.49–27.05safer5.79–12.988.19–15.5813.98–28.56
Offsides
63%
17%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.701.524.22safe1.54–3.860.43–2.611.97–6.47safer1.24–4.160.14–2.901.38–7.06
Yellow cards
22%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.252.143.39safe0.20–2.301.01–3.271.21–5.56safer0.00–2.560.72–3.560.65–6.12
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.335.81safe1.04–3.921.77–4.882.81–8.80safer0.66–4.301.35–5.312.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 46% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.08 | 3.96 2.21–5.70 1.75–6.16 | 8.68 5.07–12.28 4.12–13.24 | 53% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.04 10.11–17.96 9.02–19.06 | 11.76 8.20–15.33 7.24–16.29 | 25.80 18.32–33.29 16.27–35.34 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.28 6.34–12.22 5.51–13.05 | 7.95 5.27–10.63 4.53–11.37 | 17.23 11.61–22.85 10.04–24.42 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.37–6.22 | 3.27 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 7.06 3.53–10.60 2.49–11.63 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.53 3.32–7.75 2.74–8.32 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.07–7.14 | 10.14 5.93–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 49.92 43.13–56.71 41.46–58.38 | 50.34 43.56–57.13 41.88–58.80 | — | 47% 49% |
| Passes | 482 415–550 397–568 | 471 405–538 387–555 | 954 820–1088 785–1123 | 53% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.21 61.18–69.24 59.89–70.53 | 70.57 66.25–74.90 64.94–76.21 | — | 22% 73% |
| Fouls | 9.38 6.55–12.22 5.79–12.98 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.58 | 21.27 15.49–27.05 13.98–28.56 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.70 1.54–3.86 1.24–4.16 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 4.22 1.97–6.47 1.38–7.06 | 63% 17% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.56 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.39 1.21–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 22% 21% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.92 0.66–4.30 | 3.33 1.77–4.88 1.35–5.31 | 5.81 2.81–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.