Championship·Regular Season - 42·
Championship·Regular Season - 42·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.232.97safe0.77–2.710.38–2.091.15–4.79safer0.52–2.960.15–2.320.67–5.27
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.049.63safe3.73–7.452.30–5.796.03–13.24safer3.24–7.941.83–6.255.07–14.19
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3312.2627.59safe11.41–19.268.69–15.8220.10–35.08safer10.32–20.357.73–16.7818.05–37.13
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.528.3417.86safe6.58–12.465.66–11.0212.23–23.48safer5.75–13.294.92–11.7610.67–25.05
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.042.856.89safe2.15–5.921.20–4.513.36–10.43safer1.61–6.460.71–5.002.32–11.46
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.074.5010.57safe3.85–8.282.50–6.516.36–14.78safer3.28–8.851.97–7.045.25–15.89
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.1143.09safe50.32–63.9036.31–49.88safer48.65–65.5734.63–51.55
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction502357859safe435–569291–423725–993safer417–587273–441690–1028
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction74.4270.74safe70.39–78.4566.42–75.07safer69.10–79.7465.11–76.38
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5512.7924.34safe8.72–14.399.84–15.7318.56–30.12safer7.96–15.159.09–16.4817.05–31.63
Offsides
33%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.342.855.19safe1.18–3.511.76–3.942.94–7.45safer0.88–3.811.47–4.232.35–8.04
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.063.90safe0.79–2.890.93–3.191.72–6.08safer0.52–3.150.64–3.481.17–6.64
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
27%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.736.41safe1.24–4.112.18–5.293.41–9.40safer0.85–4.501.75–5.712.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.59 3.73–7.45 3.24–7.94 | 4.04 2.30–5.79 1.83–6.25 | 9.63 6.03–13.24 5.07–14.19 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.33 11.41–19.26 10.32–20.35 | 12.26 8.69–15.82 7.73–16.78 | 27.59 20.10–35.08 18.05–37.13 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.52 6.58–12.46 5.75–13.29 | 8.34 5.66–11.02 4.92–11.76 | 17.86 12.23–23.48 10.67–25.05 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.15–5.92 1.61–6.46 | 2.85 1.20–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 6.89 3.36–10.43 2.32–11.46 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.85–8.28 3.28–8.85 | 4.50 2.50–6.51 1.97–7.04 | 10.57 6.36–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 57.11 50.32–63.90 48.65–65.57 | 43.09 36.31–49.88 34.63–51.55 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 502 435–569 417–587 | 357 291–423 273–441 | 859 725–993 690–1028 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.42 70.39–78.45 69.10–79.74 | 70.74 66.42–75.07 65.11–76.38 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.72–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 12.79 9.84–15.73 9.09–16.48 | 24.34 18.56–30.12 17.05–31.63 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.34 1.18–3.51 0.88–3.81 | 2.85 1.76–3.94 1.47–4.23 | 5.19 2.94–7.45 2.35–8.04 | 33% 18% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.17–6.64 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 3.73 2.18–5.29 1.75–5.71 | 6.41 3.41–9.40 2.60–10.21 | 27% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.