Championship·Regular Season - 42·
Championship·Regular Season - 42·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
27%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.462.41safe0.00–1.920.60–2.310.58–4.23safer0.00–2.170.37–2.540.10–4.71
Shots on target
31%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.294.097.38safe1.43–5.152.35–5.833.77–10.98safer0.94–5.641.88–6.302.82–11.94
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5112.8524.37safe7.59–15.449.29–16.4216.88–31.85safer6.50–16.538.33–17.3814.83–33.91
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.268.3615.62safe4.31–10.205.68–11.049.99–21.24safer3.48–11.034.94–11.788.43–22.81
Blocked shots
33%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.354.037.38safe1.46–5.232.38–5.683.84–10.91safer0.92–5.771.88–6.172.81–11.95
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.5910.15safe2.35–6.783.59–7.595.94–14.37safer1.78–7.353.05–8.124.83–15.47
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.6058.77safe34.81–48.3951.99–65.56safer33.14–50.0650.32–67.23
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction324470794safe257–391403–536660–927safer239–410386–554624–963
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction60.9072.91safe56.87–64.9368.58–77.23safer55.58–66.2267.27–78.54
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1711.4322.60safe8.33–14.008.49–14.3816.82–28.38safer7.57–14.767.74–15.1315.31–29.89
Offsides
40%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.703.48safe0.61–2.930.61–2.801.22–5.73safer0.31–3.240.32–3.080.63–6.32
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.723.61safe0.83–2.930.60–2.851.43–5.78safer0.57–3.200.30–3.140.87–6.34
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
47%
18%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.642.284.92safe1.20–4.070.73–3.841.93–7.91safer0.82–4.460.30–4.261.12–8.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.41 0.58–4.23 0.10–4.71 | 25% 27% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.29 1.43–5.15 0.94–5.64 | 4.09 2.35–5.83 1.88–6.30 | 7.38 3.77–10.98 2.82–11.94 | 31% 14% 54% |
| Total shots | 11.51 7.59–15.44 6.50–16.53 | 12.85 9.29–16.42 8.33–17.38 | 24.37 16.88–31.85 14.83–33.91 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.26 4.31–10.20 3.48–11.03 | 8.36 5.68–11.04 4.94–11.78 | 15.62 9.99–21.24 8.43–22.81 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.46–5.23 0.92–5.77 | 4.03 2.38–5.68 1.88–6.17 | 7.38 3.84–10.91 2.81–11.95 | 33% 15% 53% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.35–6.78 1.78–7.35 | 5.59 3.59–7.59 3.05–8.12 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 41.60 34.81–48.39 33.14–50.06 | 58.77 51.99–65.56 50.32–67.23 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 324 257–391 239–410 | 470 403–536 386–554 | 794 660–927 624–963 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.90 56.87–64.93 55.58–66.22 | 72.91 68.58–77.23 67.27–78.54 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.17 8.33–14.00 7.57–14.76 | 11.43 8.49–14.38 7.74–15.13 | 22.60 16.82–28.38 15.31–29.89 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.24 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.08 | 3.48 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 40% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 1.72 0.60–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.61 1.43–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.07 0.82–4.46 | 2.28 0.73–3.84 0.30–4.26 | 4.92 1.93–7.91 1.12–8.73 | 47% 18% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.