Championship·Regular Season - 42·
Championship·Regular Season - 42·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.260.903.17safe1.29–3.230.05–1.761.34–4.99safer1.04–3.480.00–1.990.86–5.47
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.593.209.78safe4.72–8.451.45–4.946.18–13.39safer4.23–8.940.99–5.405.22–14.34
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.899.7227.61safe13.96–21.816.16–13.2820.12–35.09safer12.87–22.905.20–14.2418.07–37.14
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.446.5619.00safe9.50–15.383.88–9.2413.37–24.62safer8.67–16.213.14–9.9811.81–26.19
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.692.868.55safe3.80–7.571.21–4.515.01–12.08safer3.26–8.110.71–5.003.98–13.12
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.133.4910.62safe4.92–9.351.49–5.496.41–14.83safer4.35–9.920.96–6.025.30–15.94
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.5838.34safe54.79–68.3731.55–45.12safer53.12–70.0429.88–46.79
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction610363973safe543–677296–429839–1106safer525–696279–447803–1142
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction78.9971.39safe74.96–83.0267.06–75.71safer73.67–84.3265.75–77.02
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6010.4820.08safe6.76–12.447.53–13.4214.29–25.86safer6.01–13.196.78–14.1712.79–27.36
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.713.30safe0.43–2.750.62–2.801.05–5.55safer0.13–3.050.33–3.090.46–6.14
Yellow cards
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.802.93safe0.09–2.180.67–2.920.75–5.11safer0.00–2.450.37–3.220.19–5.67
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.966.23safe0.83–3.702.40–5.523.23–9.22safer0.44–4.091.98–5.942.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.29–3.23 1.04–3.48 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.17 1.34–4.99 0.86–5.47 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.59 4.72–8.45 4.23–8.94 | 3.20 1.45–4.94 0.99–5.40 | 9.78 6.18–13.39 5.22–14.34 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.89 13.96–21.81 12.87–22.90 | 9.72 6.16–13.28 5.20–14.24 | 27.61 20.12–35.09 18.07–37.14 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.44 9.50–15.38 8.67–16.21 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.98 | 19.00 13.37–24.62 11.81–26.19 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.69 3.80–7.57 3.26–8.11 | 2.86 1.21–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 8.55 5.01–12.08 3.98–13.12 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.13 4.92–9.35 4.35–9.92 | 3.49 1.49–5.49 0.96–6.02 | 10.62 6.41–14.83 5.30–15.94 | 84% |
| Possession % | 61.58 54.79–68.37 53.12–70.04 | 38.34 31.55–45.12 29.88–46.79 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 610 543–677 525–696 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 973 839–1106 803–1142 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.99 74.96–83.02 73.67–84.32 | 71.39 67.06–75.71 65.75–77.02 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 9.60 6.76–12.44 6.01–13.19 | 10.48 7.53–13.42 6.78–14.17 | 20.08 14.29–25.86 12.79–27.36 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.13 0.09–2.18 0.00–2.45 | 1.80 0.67–2.92 0.37–3.22 | 2.93 0.75–5.11 0.19–5.67 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.96 2.40–5.52 1.98–5.94 | 6.23 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.