Championship·Regular Season - 42·
Championship·Regular Season - 42·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.190.953.14safe1.22–3.160.10–1.811.32–4.97safer0.97–3.410.00–2.030.84–5.45
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.118.90safe3.92–7.651.37–4.855.29–12.50safer3.43–8.140.90–5.324.34–13.46
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction15.588.9524.53safe11.66–19.515.39–12.5117.04–32.02safer10.57–20.604.43–13.4714.99–34.07
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.166.1517.30safe8.21–14.103.47–8.8311.68–22.93safer7.39–14.932.73–9.5610.11–24.49
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.611.966.57safe2.73–6.490.30–3.613.03–10.10safer2.19–7.040.00–4.102.00–11.14
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.033.4310.46safe4.81–9.241.43–5.436.24–14.67safer4.24–9.810.90–5.965.14–15.78
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction59.5739.86safe52.78–66.3633.07–46.64safer51.11–68.0331.40–48.32
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction534330865safe467–601264–397731–998safer449–619246–414695–1034
Pass accuracy %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction74.1467.09safe70.11–78.1762.76–71.41safer68.81–79.4661.45–72.72
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7612.3223.08safe7.92–13.599.38–15.2717.30–28.86safer7.16–14.358.63–16.0215.79–30.37
Offsides
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.313.525.83safe1.15–3.472.43–4.613.58–8.08safer0.85–3.772.14–4.902.99–8.67
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.474.11safe0.59–2.681.34–3.601.93–6.28safer0.32–2.951.05–3.891.37–6.84
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
20%
15%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.435.42safe0.56–3.431.87–4.992.43–8.42safer0.17–3.821.45–5.411.62–9.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.22–3.16 0.97–3.41 | 0.95 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.03 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.79 3.92–7.65 3.43–8.14 | 3.11 1.37–4.85 0.90–5.32 | 8.90 5.29–12.50 4.34–13.46 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 15.58 11.66–19.51 10.57–20.60 | 8.95 5.39–12.51 4.43–13.47 | 24.53 17.04–32.02 14.99–34.07 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.16 8.21–14.10 7.39–14.93 | 6.15 3.47–8.83 2.73–9.56 | 17.30 11.68–22.93 10.11–24.49 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.49 2.19–7.04 | 1.96 0.30–3.61 0.00–4.10 | 6.57 3.03–10.10 2.00–11.14 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.03 4.81–9.24 4.24–9.81 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.90–5.96 | 10.46 6.24–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 83% |
| Possession % | 59.57 52.78–66.36 51.11–68.03 | 39.86 33.07–46.64 31.40–48.32 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 534 467–601 449–619 | 330 264–397 246–414 | 865 731–998 695–1034 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.14 70.11–78.17 68.81–79.46 | 67.09 62.76–71.41 61.45–72.72 | — | 80% 16% |
| Fouls | 10.76 7.92–13.59 7.16–14.35 | 12.32 9.38–15.27 8.63–16.02 | 23.08 17.30–28.86 15.79–30.37 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.31 1.15–3.47 0.85–3.77 | 3.52 2.43–4.61 2.14–4.90 | 5.83 3.58–8.08 2.99–8.67 | 24% 15% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.59–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.47 1.34–3.60 1.05–3.89 | 4.11 1.93–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 3.43 1.87–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 5.42 2.43–8.42 1.62–9.23 | 20% 15% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+