Championship·Regular Season - 42·
Championship·Regular Season - 42·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.060.902.95safe1.09–3.030.04–1.751.13–4.78safer0.84–3.280.00–1.980.65–5.26
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.143.499.63safe4.28–8.001.75–5.236.02–13.23safer3.79–8.491.28–5.705.07–14.19
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6211.0328.65safe13.70–21.557.47–14.5921.16–36.14safer12.61–22.646.51–15.5519.11–38.19
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.706.8018.50safe8.76–14.644.12–9.4812.88–24.12safer7.93–15.473.38–10.2211.31–25.69
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.983.028.00safe3.10–6.861.37–4.684.47–11.54safer2.55–7.410.88–5.173.43–12.57
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.993.5710.56safe4.78–9.211.57–5.576.35–14.78safer4.21–9.781.04–6.105.24–15.88
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8536.04safe57.06–70.6429.26–42.83safer55.39–72.3127.59–44.50
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction601307908safe534–668241–374775–1042safer516–686223–391739–1078
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction77.7268.68safe73.69–81.7564.36–73.01safer72.40–83.0563.05–74.31
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5112.8723.39safe7.68–13.359.93–15.8217.61–29.17safer6.92–14.119.18–16.5716.10–30.68
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.382.95safe0.41–2.730.29–2.470.70–5.21safer0.11–3.030.00–2.760.11–5.80
Yellow cards
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.212.053.26safe0.16–2.260.92–3.181.09–5.44safer0.00–2.530.63–3.470.53–6.00
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.966.55safe1.16–4.032.40–5.523.56–9.54safer0.77–4.421.98–5.942.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.03 0.84–3.28 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.95 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 64% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.14 4.28–8.00 3.79–8.49 | 3.49 1.75–5.23 1.28–5.70 | 9.63 6.02–13.23 5.07–14.19 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.62 13.70–21.55 12.61–22.64 | 11.03 7.47–14.59 6.51–15.55 | 28.65 21.16–36.14 19.11–38.19 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.70 8.76–14.64 7.93–15.47 | 6.80 4.12–9.48 3.38–10.22 | 18.50 12.88–24.12 11.31–25.69 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.98 3.10–6.86 2.55–7.41 | 3.02 1.37–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 8.00 4.47–11.54 3.43–12.57 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 6.99 4.78–9.21 4.21–9.78 | 3.57 1.57–5.57 1.04–6.10 | 10.56 6.35–14.78 5.24–15.88 | 82% |
| Possession % | 63.85 57.06–70.64 55.39–72.31 | 36.04 29.26–42.83 27.59–44.50 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 601 534–668 516–686 | 307 241–374 223–391 | 908 775–1042 739–1078 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.72 73.69–81.75 72.40–83.05 | 68.68 64.36–73.01 63.05–74.31 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.68–13.35 6.92–14.11 | 12.87 9.93–15.82 9.18–16.57 | 23.39 17.61–29.17 16.10–30.68 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.38 0.29–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 2.95 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.21 0.16–2.26 0.00–2.53 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.26 1.09–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 3.96 2.40–5.52 1.98–5.94 | 6.55 3.56–9.54 2.75–10.36 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.