Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.402.89safe0.53–2.460.54–2.251.07–4.71safer0.27–2.710.32–2.480.59–5.19
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.549.26safe2.85–6.582.80–6.295.65–12.86safer2.36–7.062.34–6.754.70–13.82
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1813.5626.73safe9.25–17.1010.00–17.1219.25–34.22safer8.16–18.199.04–18.0817.20–36.27
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.879.4318.30safe5.93–11.816.75–12.1112.68–23.92safer5.10–12.646.01–12.8511.11–25.49
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.953.717.66safe2.06–5.832.06–5.374.12–11.20safer1.52–6.371.57–5.863.09–12.23
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.165.1010.25safe2.94–7.373.10–7.106.04–14.47safer2.37–7.942.56–7.634.93–15.58
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction47.3153.04safe40.52–54.1046.25–59.82safer38.85–55.7744.58–61.49
Passes
35%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction425469894safe358–492402–535760–1027safer339–510385–553724–1063
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction69.6676.77safe65.63–73.6972.45–81.10safer64.34–74.9871.14–82.41
Fouls
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5910.0923.68safe10.76–16.437.14–13.0317.90–29.46safer10.00–17.196.40–13.7816.40–30.97
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.803.51safe0.55–2.870.71–2.891.26–5.77safer0.25–3.170.42–3.180.67–6.36
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.913.97safe1.01–3.110.78–3.041.79–6.15safer0.74–3.370.49–3.331.23–6.70
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.122.926.04safe1.69–4.561.36–4.473.05–9.03safer1.30–4.950.94–4.902.24–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.53–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.32–2.48 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.71 2.85–6.58 2.36–7.06 | 4.54 2.80–6.29 2.34–6.75 | 9.26 5.65–12.86 4.70–13.82 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.18 9.25–17.10 8.16–18.19 | 13.56 10.00–17.12 9.04–18.08 | 26.73 19.25–34.22 17.20–36.27 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.87 5.93–11.81 5.10–12.64 | 9.43 6.75–12.11 6.01–12.85 | 18.30 12.68–23.92 11.11–25.49 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.95 2.06–5.83 1.52–6.37 | 3.71 2.06–5.37 1.57–5.86 | 7.66 4.12–11.20 3.09–12.23 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.56–7.63 | 10.25 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.58 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 47.31 40.52–54.10 38.85–55.77 | 53.04 46.25–59.82 44.58–61.49 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 425 358–492 339–510 | 469 402–535 385–553 | 894 760–1027 724–1063 | 35% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.66 65.63–73.69 64.34–74.98 | 76.77 72.45–81.10 71.14–82.41 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 13.59 10.76–16.43 10.00–17.19 | 10.09 7.14–13.03 6.40–13.78 | 23.68 17.90–29.46 16.40–30.97 | 73% 20% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.80 0.71–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.51 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.37 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.23–6.70 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.24–9.84 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+