Championship·Regular Season - 42·
Championship·Regular Season - 42·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.122.73safe0.64–2.580.27–1.980.91–4.55safer0.39–2.830.04–2.200.43–5.03
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.788.42safe2.78–6.502.04–5.524.81–12.02safer2.29–6.991.57–5.993.86–12.98
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6410.8326.47safe11.71–19.567.27–14.3918.98–33.96safer10.62–20.656.31–15.3516.93–36.01
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.017.4417.45safe7.07–12.954.76–10.1211.83–23.08safer6.24–13.784.02–10.8610.26–24.64
Blocked shots
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.553.277.83safe2.67–6.431.62–4.934.29–11.36safer2.13–6.981.13–5.423.26–12.40
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.834.3410.17safe3.61–8.042.34–6.345.95–14.38safer3.04–8.611.81–6.874.84–15.49
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.5845.07safe47.79–61.3738.29–51.86safer46.12–63.0436.62–53.53
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction430344774safe363–497278–411640–908safer344–515260–428605–943
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction68.7269.15safe64.69–72.7564.83–73.47safer63.40–74.0463.52–74.78
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3513.1425.49safe9.51–15.1910.19–16.0819.71–31.27safer8.76–15.959.44–16.8318.20–32.77
Offsides
39%
19%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.324.56safe1.08–3.401.23–3.412.31–6.82safer0.78–3.700.94–3.701.72–7.40
Yellow cards
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.614.37safe0.71–2.811.48–3.732.19–6.55safer0.45–3.081.19–4.031.63–7.10
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.532.945.47safe1.10–3.971.38–4.492.48–8.46safer0.71–4.360.96–4.921.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.20 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 49% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.78–6.50 2.29–6.99 | 3.78 2.04–5.52 1.57–5.99 | 8.42 4.81–12.02 3.86–12.98 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.64 11.71–19.56 10.62–20.65 | 10.83 7.27–14.39 6.31–15.35 | 26.47 18.98–33.96 16.93–36.01 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.01 7.07–12.95 6.24–13.78 | 7.44 4.76–10.12 4.02–10.86 | 17.45 11.83–23.08 10.26–24.64 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.67–6.43 2.13–6.98 | 3.27 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 7.83 4.29–11.36 3.26–12.40 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.61–8.04 3.04–8.61 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.87 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.84–15.49 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 54.58 47.79–61.37 46.12–63.04 | 45.07 38.29–51.86 36.62–53.53 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 430 363–497 344–515 | 344 278–411 260–428 | 774 640–908 605–943 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.72 64.69–72.75 63.40–74.04 | 69.15 64.83–73.47 63.52–74.78 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 12.35 9.51–15.19 8.76–15.95 | 13.14 10.19–16.08 9.44–16.83 | 25.49 19.71–31.27 18.20–32.77 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.70 | 2.32 1.23–3.41 0.94–3.70 | 4.56 2.31–6.82 1.72–7.40 | 39% 19% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.61 1.48–3.73 1.19–4.03 | 4.37 2.19–6.55 1.63–7.10 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 2.94 1.38–4.49 0.96–4.92 | 5.47 2.48–8.46 1.67–9.28 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.