Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.142.42safe0.32–2.250.28–1.990.60–4.25safer0.07–2.510.05–2.220.12–4.73
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.204.148.33safe2.33–6.062.40–5.884.73–11.94safer1.84–6.551.93–6.353.77–12.89
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0411.7523.79safe8.12–15.978.19–15.3116.31–31.28safer7.03–17.067.23–16.2714.26–33.33
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.437.4816.91safe6.48–12.374.80–10.1611.28–22.53safer5.65–13.204.06–10.909.72–24.10
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.336.77safe1.56–5.331.68–4.983.24–10.31safer1.02–5.871.18–5.472.20–11.34
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.329.30safe2.77–7.192.32–6.325.09–13.51safer2.19–7.771.79–6.853.98–14.62
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.9757.76safe36.18–49.7650.98–64.55safer34.51–51.4349.31–66.22
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction4315711002safe364–498505–637869–1136safer346–517487–655833–1172
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction68.3077.40safe64.27–72.3373.07–81.72safer62.98–73.6371.76–83.03
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.349.9421.28safe8.50–14.177.00–12.8915.50–27.06safer7.74–14.936.25–13.6413.99–28.57
Offsides
60%
18%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.611.554.16safe1.45–3.770.46–2.651.91–6.41safer1.15–4.070.17–2.931.32–7.00
Yellow cards
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.582.93safe0.30–2.400.45–2.710.75–5.11safer0.03–2.670.16–3.000.19–5.66
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.865.61safe1.32–4.191.30–4.412.62–8.60safer0.93–4.580.88–4.841.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.25 0.07–2.51 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.42 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.20 2.33–6.06 1.84–6.55 | 4.14 2.40–5.88 1.93–6.35 | 8.33 4.73–11.94 3.77–12.89 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.04 8.12–15.97 7.03–17.06 | 11.75 8.19–15.31 7.23–16.27 | 23.79 16.31–31.28 14.26–33.33 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 9.43 6.48–12.37 5.65–13.20 | 7.48 4.80–10.16 4.06–10.90 | 16.91 11.28–22.53 9.72–24.10 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.56–5.33 1.02–5.87 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.77–7.19 2.19–7.77 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.85 | 9.30 5.09–13.51 3.98–14.62 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 42.97 36.18–49.76 34.51–51.43 | 57.76 50.98–64.55 49.31–66.22 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–517 | 571 505–637 487–655 | 1002 869–1136 833–1172 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.30 64.27–72.33 62.98–73.63 | 77.40 73.07–81.72 71.76–83.03 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.34 8.50–14.17 7.74–14.93 | 9.94 7.00–12.89 6.25–13.64 | 21.28 15.50–27.06 13.99–28.57 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.61 1.45–3.77 1.15–4.07 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 4.16 1.91–6.41 1.32–7.00 | 60% 18% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.03–2.67 | 1.58 0.45–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 2.93 0.75–5.11 0.19–5.66 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 2.86 1.30–4.41 0.88–4.84 | 5.61 2.62–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+