Championship·Regular Season - 43·
Championship·Regular Season - 43·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.062.50safe0.47–2.400.21–1.920.67–4.32safer0.22–2.660.00–2.140.19–4.80
Shots on target
59%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.653.468.11safe2.79–6.511.71–5.204.50–11.71safer2.30–7.001.25–5.673.55–12.67
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1310.5024.63safe10.21–18.066.93–14.0617.14–32.12safer9.12–19.155.98–15.0215.09–34.17
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.327.9217.24safe6.37–12.265.24–10.6011.61–22.86safer5.54–13.094.50–11.3410.05–24.43
Blocked shots
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.017.37safe2.47–6.241.36–4.673.83–10.90safer1.93–6.780.87–5.162.80–11.94
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.884.4410.32safe3.67–8.102.44–6.446.11–14.54safer3.10–8.671.91–6.975.00–15.64
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction52.2848.41safe45.49–59.0741.62–55.19safer43.82–60.7439.95–56.86
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction442403845safe375–510336–469711–979safer357–528319–487676–1014
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction68.4468.21safe64.41–72.4763.88–72.53safer63.11–73.7662.57–73.84
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5211.0921.61safe7.68–13.368.14–14.0315.83–27.39safer6.93–14.117.40–14.7814.32–28.90
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.003.56safe0.40–2.720.91–3.091.31–5.81safer0.10–3.020.62–3.380.72–6.40
Yellow cards
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.753.43safe0.64–2.740.62–2.881.25–5.61safer0.37–3.000.33–3.170.70–6.17
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
28%
17%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.065.29safe0.79–3.661.51–4.622.30–8.28safer0.40–4.051.08–5.041.48–9.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.40 0.22–2.66 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.14 | 2.50 0.67–4.32 0.19–4.80 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.51 2.30–7.00 | 3.46 1.71–5.20 1.25–5.67 | 8.11 4.50–11.71 3.55–12.67 | 59% 13% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.13 10.21–18.06 9.12–19.15 | 10.50 6.93–14.06 5.98–15.02 | 24.63 17.14–32.12 15.09–34.17 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.37–12.26 5.54–13.09 | 7.92 5.24–10.60 4.50–11.34 | 17.24 11.61–22.86 10.05–24.43 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.47–6.24 1.93–6.78 | 3.01 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 7.37 3.83–10.90 2.80–11.94 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 5.88 3.67–8.10 3.10–8.67 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.91–6.97 | 10.32 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.64 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 52.28 45.49–59.07 43.82–60.74 | 48.41 41.62–55.19 39.95–56.86 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 442 375–510 357–528 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 845 711–979 676–1014 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.44 64.41–72.47 63.11–73.76 | 68.21 63.88–72.53 62.57–73.84 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.68–13.36 6.93–14.11 | 11.09 8.14–14.03 7.40–14.78 | 21.61 15.83–27.39 14.32–28.90 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 3.56 1.31–5.81 0.72–6.40 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.06 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 5.29 2.30–8.28 1.48–9.09 | 28% 17% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.