Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.833.06safe0.26–2.200.97–2.681.23–4.88safer0.01–2.450.74–2.910.75–5.36
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.225.109.31safe2.35–6.083.36–6.845.71–12.92safer1.86–6.572.89–7.314.75–13.87
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3413.9426.27safe8.41–16.2610.37–17.5018.79–33.76safer7.32–17.359.41–18.4616.73–35.81
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.039.6217.65safe5.09–10.986.93–12.3012.03–23.27safer4.26–11.816.20–13.0310.46–24.84
Blocked shots
24%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.984.377.36safe1.10–4.872.72–6.033.82–10.89safer0.56–5.412.23–6.522.79–11.93
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.725.4610.17safe2.50–6.933.46–7.465.96–14.39safer1.93–7.502.93–7.994.85–15.49
Possession %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction46.9254.59safe40.13–53.7147.80–61.37safer38.46–55.3846.13–63.04
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction424477901safe356–491411–543767–1034safer338–509393–561731–1070
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction64.1974.93safe60.16–68.2270.61–79.25safer58.87–69.5169.30–80.56
Fouls
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction10.759.0819.83safe7.91–13.596.14–12.0314.05–25.61safer7.15–14.345.39–12.7812.54–27.12
Offsides
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.746.07safe2.16–4.481.65–3.843.82–8.32safer1.86–4.791.36–4.133.23–8.91
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.673.49safe0.77–2.870.54–2.801.31–5.67safer0.51–3.140.25–3.090.75–6.22
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.070.18safe0.00–0.280.00–0.250.00–0.53safer0.00–0.430.00–0.390.00–0.81
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.202.755.95safe1.76–4.641.20–4.312.96–8.95safer1.38–5.020.77–4.742.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.83 0.97–2.68 0.74–2.91 | 3.06 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.57 | 5.10 3.36–6.84 2.89–7.31 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.34 8.41–16.26 7.32–17.35 | 13.94 10.37–17.50 9.41–18.46 | 26.27 18.79–33.76 16.73–35.81 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.03 5.09–10.98 4.26–11.81 | 9.62 6.93–12.30 6.20–13.03 | 17.65 12.03–23.27 10.46–24.84 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.10–4.87 0.56–5.41 | 4.37 2.72–6.03 2.23–6.52 | 7.36 3.82–10.89 2.79–11.93 | 24% 13% 63% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.50–6.93 1.93–7.50 | 5.46 3.46–7.46 2.93–7.99 | 10.17 5.96–14.39 4.85–15.49 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 46.92 40.13–53.71 38.46–55.38 | 54.59 47.80–61.37 46.13–63.04 | — | 30% 65% |
| Passes | 424 356–491 338–509 | 477 411–543 393–561 | 901 767–1034 731–1070 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.19 60.16–68.22 58.87–69.51 | 74.93 70.61–79.25 69.30–80.56 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.75 7.91–13.59 7.15–14.34 | 9.08 6.14–12.03 5.39–12.78 | 19.83 14.05–25.61 12.54–27.12 | 60% 31% |
| Offsides | 3.32 2.16–4.48 1.86–4.79 | 2.74 1.65–3.84 1.36–4.13 | 6.07 3.82–8.32 3.23–8.91 | 51% 16% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.22 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.76–4.64 1.38–5.02 | 2.75 1.20–4.31 0.77–4.74 | 5.95 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.