Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.332.72safe0.42–2.360.47–2.180.90–4.54safer0.17–2.610.25–2.410.42–5.02
Shots on target
49%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.359.17safe2.95–6.682.61–6.105.56–12.77safer2.46–7.172.14–6.564.61–13.73
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7112.7726.48safe9.79–17.649.20–16.3318.99–33.96safer8.69–18.738.24–17.2916.94–36.01
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.567.8917.44safe6.61–12.505.21–10.5711.82–23.07safer5.78–13.334.47–11.3110.25–24.63
Blocked shots
32%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.264.027.28safe1.38–5.142.36–5.673.74–10.81safer0.83–5.691.87–6.162.71–11.85
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.9610.41safe3.24–7.662.96–6.966.20–14.62safer2.66–8.242.42–7.495.09–15.73
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.6754.15safe39.88–53.4647.37–60.94safer38.21–55.1345.70–62.61
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction388438826safe321–455371–504692–959safer303–473354–522656–995
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction62.5570.71safe58.52–66.5866.38–75.03safer57.22–67.8765.07–76.34
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5611.1322.70safe8.73–14.408.19–14.0816.91–28.48safer7.97–15.167.44–14.8215.41–29.98
Offsides
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.421.314.73safe2.26–4.580.22–2.402.48–6.99safer1.96–4.880.00–2.691.89–7.57
Yellow cards
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.673.33safe0.61–2.710.54–2.801.15–5.51safer0.34–2.970.25–3.090.59–6.06
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.336.18safe1.42–4.291.77–4.893.19–9.18safer1.03–4.681.35–5.312.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.25–2.41 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 39% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.68 2.46–7.17 | 4.35 2.61–6.10 2.14–6.56 | 9.17 5.56–12.77 4.61–13.73 | 49% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.71 9.79–17.64 8.69–18.73 | 12.77 9.20–16.33 8.24–17.29 | 26.48 18.99–33.96 16.94–36.01 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 9.56 6.61–12.50 5.78–13.33 | 7.89 5.21–10.57 4.47–11.31 | 17.44 11.82–23.07 10.25–24.63 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.14 0.83–5.69 | 4.02 2.36–5.67 1.87–6.16 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 32% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.66 2.66–8.24 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.42–7.49 | 10.41 6.20–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 46.67 39.88–53.46 38.21–55.13 | 54.15 47.37–60.94 45.70–62.61 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 438 371–504 354–522 | 826 692–959 656–995 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.55 58.52–66.58 57.22–67.87 | 70.71 66.38–75.03 65.07–76.34 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.73–14.40 7.97–15.16 | 11.13 8.19–14.08 7.44–14.82 | 22.70 16.91–28.48 15.41–29.98 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 3.42 2.26–4.58 1.96–4.88 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 4.73 2.48–6.99 1.89–7.57 | 77% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.06 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.33 1.77–4.89 1.35–5.31 | 6.18 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 34% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+