Championship·Regular Season - 43·
Championship·Regular Season - 43·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.893.05safe0.19–2.131.04–2.751.23–4.88safer0.00–2.380.81–2.980.75–5.36
Shots on target
28%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.055.289.33safe2.19–5.913.54–7.035.73–12.94safer1.70–6.403.08–7.494.77–13.89
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8914.2927.17safe8.96–16.8110.72–17.8519.68–34.66safer7.87–17.909.76–18.8117.63–36.71
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction9.779.8119.58safe6.82–12.717.13–12.4913.95–25.20safer6.00–13.546.39–13.2312.39–26.77
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.794.137.92safe1.91–5.672.48–5.784.38–11.46safer1.36–6.221.99–6.283.35–12.49
Corners
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.965.5210.48safe2.75–7.183.52–7.526.27–14.69safer2.18–7.752.98–8.055.16–15.80
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.6763.33safe30.88–44.4656.55–70.12safer29.21–46.1354.87–71.79
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction316531848safe249–384465–598714–981safer231–402447–615678–1017
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction61.4975.64safe57.46–65.5271.31–79.96safer56.17–66.8170.00–81.27
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8410.5123.35safe10.00–15.687.56–13.4517.57–29.13safer9.25–16.446.81–14.2016.06–30.64
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.853.59safe0.58–2.900.76–2.951.34–5.85safer0.28–3.200.47–3.230.75–6.44
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.723.30safe0.53–2.620.59–2.851.12–5.47safer0.26–2.890.30–3.140.56–6.03
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.262.766.02safe1.83–4.701.20–4.313.03–9.02safer1.44–5.090.78–4.742.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.89 1.04–2.75 0.81–2.98 | 3.05 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 23% 22% 54% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.91 1.70–6.40 | 5.28 3.54–7.03 3.08–7.49 | 9.33 5.73–12.94 4.77–13.89 | 28% 59% |
| Total shots | 12.89 8.96–16.81 7.87–17.90 | 14.29 10.72–17.85 9.76–18.81 | 27.17 19.68–34.66 17.63–36.71 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 9.77 6.82–12.71 6.00–13.54 | 9.81 7.13–12.49 6.39–13.23 | 19.58 13.95–25.20 12.39–26.77 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.22 | 4.13 2.48–5.78 1.99–6.28 | 7.92 4.38–11.46 3.35–12.49 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.75–7.18 2.18–7.75 | 5.52 3.52–7.52 2.98–8.05 | 10.48 6.27–14.69 5.16–15.80 | 37% 51% |
| Possession % | 37.67 30.88–44.46 29.21–46.13 | 63.33 56.55–70.12 54.87–71.79 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 316 249–384 231–402 | 531 465–598 447–615 | 848 714–981 678–1017 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.49 57.46–65.52 56.17–66.81 | 75.64 71.31–79.96 70.00–81.27 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 12.84 10.00–15.68 9.25–16.44 | 10.51 7.56–13.45 6.81–14.20 | 23.35 17.57–29.13 16.06–30.64 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.85 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.23 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.30 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.78–4.74 | 6.02 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.