Championship·Regular Season - 43·
Championship·Regular Season - 43·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.563.00safe0.47–2.410.70–2.411.17–4.82safer0.22–2.660.47–2.640.69–5.30
Shots on target
36%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.638.68safe2.19–5.912.89–6.375.08–12.29safer1.70–6.402.42–6.844.12–13.24
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6813.6126.29safe8.75–16.6010.05–17.1818.80–33.78safer7.66–17.699.09–18.1416.75–35.83
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.119.2317.34safe5.17–11.066.55–11.9111.72–22.97safer4.34–11.895.81–12.6510.15–24.53
Blocked shots
42%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.873.957.83safe1.99–5.762.30–5.604.29–11.36safer1.45–6.301.81–6.103.25–12.40
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.334.9010.23safe3.12–7.542.90–6.906.01–14.44safer2.54–8.122.36–7.434.91–15.55
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction48.7351.73safe41.94–55.5244.95–58.52safer40.27–57.1943.28–60.19
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction428413841safe361–495346–479707–975safer343–514329–497672–1010
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction67.3371.12safe63.30–71.3566.79–75.44safer62.00–72.6565.48–76.75
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.179.7821.95safe9.33–15.016.84–12.7216.17–27.73safer8.58–15.776.09–13.4714.66–29.24
Offsides
34%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.953.63safe0.52–2.840.86–3.051.38–5.89safer0.22–3.140.57–3.330.79–6.48
Yellow cards
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.593.52safe0.88–2.980.47–2.721.34–5.70safer0.61–3.240.17–3.010.79–6.26
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.022.575.58safe1.58–4.451.01–4.122.59–8.58safer1.19–4.840.58–4.551.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.56 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.64 | 3.00 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.30 | 35% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.91 1.70–6.40 | 4.63 2.89–6.37 2.42–6.84 | 8.68 5.08–12.29 4.12–13.24 | 36% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.68 8.75–16.60 7.66–17.69 | 13.61 10.05–17.18 9.09–18.14 | 26.29 18.80–33.78 16.75–35.83 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 8.11 5.17–11.06 4.34–11.89 | 9.23 6.55–11.91 5.81–12.65 | 17.34 11.72–22.97 10.15–24.53 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 3.95 2.30–5.60 1.81–6.10 | 7.83 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.40 | 42% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.33 3.12–7.54 2.54–8.12 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.36–7.43 | 10.23 6.01–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.73 41.94–55.52 40.27–57.19 | 51.73 44.95–58.52 43.28–60.19 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 428 361–495 343–514 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 841 707–975 672–1010 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.33 63.30–71.35 62.00–72.65 | 71.12 66.79–75.44 65.48–76.75 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.17 9.33–15.01 8.58–15.77 | 9.78 6.84–12.72 6.09–13.47 | 21.95 16.17–27.73 14.66–29.24 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.95 0.86–3.05 0.57–3.33 | 3.63 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 34% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 1.59 0.47–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.58–4.45 1.19–4.84 | 2.57 1.01–4.12 0.58–4.55 | 5.58 2.59–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+