Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
27%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.400.982.38safe0.43–2.370.13–1.840.56–4.21safer0.18–2.620.00–2.070.08–4.69
Shots on target
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.347.82safe2.62–6.341.60–5.084.22–11.43safer2.13–6.831.13–5.553.26–12.38
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6010.2024.81safe10.68–18.536.64–13.7717.32–32.30safer9.59–19.625.68–14.7315.27–34.35
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.156.7315.88safe6.21–12.094.05–9.4110.26–21.51safer5.38–12.923.31–10.158.69–23.07
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.692.967.65safe2.81–6.571.31–4.614.12–11.19safer2.27–7.120.81–5.113.08–12.22
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.7510.32safe3.36–7.782.75–6.756.11–14.54safer2.78–8.362.22–7.285.00–15.64
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.2044.19safe49.41–62.9937.40–50.97safer47.74–64.6635.73–52.64
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction434341774safe366–501274–407641–908safer348–519257–425605–944
Pass accuracy %
53%
41%
homeawayprediction66.7265.55safe62.69–70.7561.23–69.87safer61.40–72.0459.92–71.18
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8712.7823.66safe8.04–13.719.84–15.7317.87–29.44safer7.28–14.479.09–16.4816.37–30.94
Offsides
21%
19%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.463.86safe0.24–2.561.37–3.561.61–6.11safer0.00–2.861.08–3.841.02–6.70
Yellow cards
32%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.713.11safe0.35–2.450.58–2.840.93–5.29safer0.09–2.720.29–3.130.38–5.85
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
30%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.232.905.13safe0.79–3.661.34–4.452.13–8.12safer0.40–4.050.92–4.881.32–8.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 0.98 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.38 0.56–4.21 0.08–4.69 | 47% 27% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.34 2.13–6.83 | 3.34 1.60–5.08 1.13–5.55 | 7.82 4.22–11.43 3.26–12.38 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.60 10.68–18.53 9.59–19.62 | 10.20 6.64–13.77 5.68–14.73 | 24.81 17.32–32.30 15.27–34.35 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.15 6.21–12.09 5.38–12.92 | 6.73 4.05–9.41 3.31–10.15 | 15.88 10.26–21.51 8.69–23.07 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.69 2.81–6.57 2.27–7.12 | 2.96 1.31–4.61 0.81–5.11 | 7.65 4.12–11.19 3.08–12.22 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.78 2.78–8.36 | 4.75 2.75–6.75 2.22–7.28 | 10.32 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.64 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 56.20 49.41–62.99 47.74–64.66 | 44.19 37.40–50.97 35.73–52.64 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 434 366–501 348–519 | 341 274–407 257–425 | 774 641–908 605–944 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.72 62.69–70.75 61.40–72.04 | 65.55 61.23–69.87 59.92–71.18 | — | 53% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.87 8.04–13.71 7.28–14.47 | 12.78 9.84–15.73 9.09–16.48 | 23.66 17.87–29.44 16.37–30.94 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 2.46 1.37–3.56 1.08–3.84 | 3.86 1.61–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 21% 19% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.11 0.93–5.29 0.38–5.85 | 32% 24% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 2.90 1.34–4.45 0.92–4.88 | 5.13 2.13–8.12 1.32–8.93 | 30% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+