Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.122.77safe0.68–2.620.27–1.970.95–4.59safer0.43–2.870.04–2.200.47–5.07
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.863.488.34safe2.99–6.721.74–5.234.74–11.95safer2.50–7.211.28–5.693.78–12.90
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5710.3124.88safe10.65–18.506.74–13.8717.39–32.37safer9.56–19.595.79–14.8315.34–34.42
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.037.4316.45safe6.08–11.974.75–10.1110.83–22.08safer5.25–12.804.01–10.849.26–23.64
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.322.687.00safe2.44–6.201.02–4.333.46–10.53safer1.90–6.750.53–4.822.43–11.57
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.643.969.60safe3.43–7.851.96–5.965.39–13.82safer2.85–8.431.43–6.504.28–14.93
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.2738.51safe55.48–69.0631.73–45.30safer53.81–70.7330.06–46.97
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction599337937safe532–667271–404803–1070safer514–685253–421767–1106
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction77.1769.10safe73.14–81.2064.78–73.43safer71.85–82.4963.47–74.74
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7812.0221.80safe6.94–12.629.08–14.9716.02–27.58safer6.18–13.378.33–15.7214.51–29.09
Offsides
23%
17%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.884.71safe0.67–2.991.79–3.972.45–6.96safer0.37–3.291.50–4.261.87–7.55
Yellow cards
26%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.893.18safe0.25–2.340.76–3.021.01–5.36safer0.00–2.610.47–3.310.45–5.92
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
27%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.165.45safe0.85–3.721.60–4.722.45–8.44safer0.46–4.111.18–5.141.64–9.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.12 0.27–1.97 0.04–2.20 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 2.99–6.72 2.50–7.21 | 3.48 1.74–5.23 1.28–5.69 | 8.34 4.74–11.95 3.78–12.90 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.57 10.65–18.50 9.56–19.59 | 10.31 6.74–13.87 5.79–14.83 | 24.88 17.39–32.37 15.34–34.42 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.03 6.08–11.97 5.25–12.80 | 7.43 4.75–10.11 4.01–10.84 | 16.45 10.83–22.08 9.26–23.64 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.20 1.90–6.75 | 2.68 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.43–11.57 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.85 2.85–8.43 | 3.96 1.96–5.96 1.43–6.50 | 9.60 5.39–13.82 4.28–14.93 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 62.27 55.48–69.06 53.81–70.73 | 38.51 31.73–45.30 30.06–46.97 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 599 532–667 514–685 | 337 271–404 253–421 | 937 803–1070 767–1106 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.17 73.14–81.20 71.85–82.49 | 69.10 64.78–73.43 63.47–74.74 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 9.78 6.94–12.62 6.18–13.37 | 12.02 9.08–14.97 8.33–15.72 | 21.80 16.02–27.58 14.51–29.09 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 2.88 1.79–3.97 1.50–4.26 | 4.71 2.45–6.96 1.87–7.55 | 23% 17% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.30 0.25–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.18 1.01–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 26% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 3.16 1.60–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 5.45 2.45–8.44 1.64–9.25 | 27% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.